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Heisenberg

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Heisenberg

@Mr_Derivatives

Daily Stock Market Commentary. Both Long/Short Ideas. Mostly Technical Analysis. Occasional Rants & Humor. Not Financial Advice. t.co/8pa0vyReDu

458 Following 601.7K Followers 100.5K posts on X

This archive holds 1,421 posts and 47,430 replies back to 20 Feb 2026

H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NVDA $221.36 highs overnight. Very nice.

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Today I said $CRWV is 0 for their last 5 er reactions. And then finally got a nice green pop in after hrs. Next, I think $NVDA could do the same in a couple weeks. They are 0 for their last 4 er reactions. Overdue for...

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

The $SPX is just 1.1% away from ATH’s. The $VIX is on pace for the calmest August month in 8 years. Wen does the midterm election pullback usually start? Askin’ for a friend.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

Kevin Warsh and Jackson Hole: due up next

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🚨 Potential alpha for this week and next week.. Performance of the $SPX for first time Fed Chairs at their first Jackson Hole meetings: Paul Volcker: Late Aug 1982 SPX was green and went up +10% next several days. A...

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$IREN reports tomorrow. Implied move is a decent sized -/+ 11%. Name has reacted positively in 6 of the last 8 earning reports. And of those two reds, one was essentially flat ish, and the other was only down half the implied move. Good luck.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NBIS $202 lows for the week to $231 highs just now after hrs off Jensen’s mention.

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$NBIS $202’s today… Time to sell this week’s CSP’s again?

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$MRVL going a bit after hrs off Nvidia. Earnings tomorrow.

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$MRVL reports this Thursday after hrs. Implied move is about +/- 10.5%. Stock has reacted well each of the last 3 reports with nice returns: +3.1% +18.4% +7.9% Why not keep it going. We going long right fam?

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NVDA is trading basically back to the same levels as 3 days ago. Fair. But being bullish does not always mean you have to play calls outright. Especially given most names don’t move over the implied most times. Love me commons. Love me CSP’s or PCS’s. Other ways to capture the small ish green move.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NVDA 0-4 last 4 earnings stock reactions. And just 2-6 last 8 earnings stock reactions. I just have a gut feeling Daddy Jensen will make sure it’s green this time. Even if just +.01% lol.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NVDA Thank you Jensen Huang.

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8 more trading days left until the big kahuna. $NVDA August 26th. Mark your calendars. They went red 4 of the last 4 ER’s and 6 of the last 8. Daddy Jensen wants to deliver a positive reaction this time. Watch.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

Today I said $CRWV is 0 for their last 5 er reactions. And then finally got a nice green pop in after hrs. Next, I think $NVDA could do the same in a couple weeks. They are 0 for their last 4 er reactions. Overdue for a green pop?

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

$NVDA implied move was -/+ 6.1% or so. Currently -1.1%. Now we wait for the earnings call… Let’s see if Daddy Jensen can pump it.

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H Mr_Derivatives
Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives ·

According to Michael Burry’s Substack today he bought $NVDA calls to hedge out his longer term $NVDA bearish position. So even he thinks 4 straight red ER reactions that we are due for a bounce, albeit temporarily. Fascinating. Not saying he is wrong, hell I probably would have done the same.

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