Heisenberg
847 posts collected
Heisenberg
@Mr_Derivatives
Daily Stock Market Commentary. Both Long/Short Ideas. Mostly Technical Analysis. Occasional Rants & Humor. Not Financial Advice. t.co/8pa0vyReDu
This archive holds 847 posts and 27,623 replies back to 20 Feb 2026
$RKLB $ASTS Earnings for Monday after hrs: RKLB Implied move roughly: +/- 13.6% Green 5 of their last 8 earnings with some outsized green moves: +34.2% -4.9% -1.3% +1.1% -11.2% +3.3% +28.4% +12.6% ASTS Implied move r...
$DRAM $49’s to $55’s in a couple days. You take that all day everyday.
$DRAM last 7 weeks: Red Green Red Green Red Green Red (so far) Again these are nothing but just for fun. Not implying anything here. But DRAM is down 4 days in a row now and has never gone 5 down days in a row in its...
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$100 profit a day on average = $25,200/yr $250 profit a day on average = $63,000/yr $500 profit a day on average = $126,000/yr $1,000 profit a day on average = $252,000/yr $2,000 profit a day on average = $504,000/yr $5,000 profit a day on average = $1,260,000/yr * Disclaimer* This is not to say you will make these amounts on an everyday basis. This is just an AVERAGE. Some days you make more, some days you lose money. That is certain. But just on average. To give you an idea. Brick by brick.
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There has only been 6 other days in 2026 out of 153 days where the $VIX was lower than the current 14.97. Most of it was clustered in early January too during the Santa Rally. Generally we like to buy stocks with an elevated VIX not a depressed VIX. But sure can the VIX stay depressed longer than we think? Absolutely. But I reckon the VIX is not going to go much lower into the 13’s handles.
Here’s a quote I once a year need to tweet out as a reminder: “NO ONE EVER WENT BROKE BY TAKING A PROFIT.” A win is a win. A gain is a gain. You missed it or you sold too early? So be it. FOMO can be a NONO. Can always get back in at the next pit stop if you must. Or just go on the next opportunity. Because there is ALWAYS opportunities around the corner…
$VIX gunning for that 14.90 gap fill today… Insurance is getting so cheap. Not saying short the markets, but if you are a long only portfolio, which is 95% of ya’ll, gotta spend 1-2% of your portfolio on insurance at some point with it being so cheap… If the markets continue to rip, great! If the markets pullback, the hedges should offset at least some of your TEMPORARY paper losses… My 2c.
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$AAPL Still stuck here around $302’s… The bounce will come eventually. Probably needs to undercut the $300 psychological round number mark first. Probably hit $295 then bigly bounce?
$AAPL Could use a healthy pullback... https://x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/2078336353801228416/photo/1
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$SPX up almost .50% so far. Keep in mind how flat ish it closed it closed in 6 of the 7 reports this year….
$SPX 2026 reactions to CPI reports : Aug 12th = ??????? July 14th = +.38% June 10th = -1.62% May 12th = -.16% April 10th = -.11% Mar 11th = -.08% Feb 13th = +.05% Jan 13th = -.19% This is what the index closed a...
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$CRWV Up 22% now! I said it had never had a green reaction ever in its history off earnings and that it was due. Well it did what it had to do big time!
$CRWV Earnings today after hrs. Implied move is roughly +/- 12.9% In its short history, has NEVER had a green reaction to earnings. 0 for 5: -11.4% -18.5% -16.3% -20.8% -2.5% Is it due for a green day for once?! Yolo...
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Futes: “cPi lEaKeD” ? x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/20…
Citadel spoofs markets with rate hike prediction. Leopold margin called. Citadel liquidates Leopold. Citadel now goes max long. Thanks for playing. x.com/Mr_Derivatives/status/20…
Imagine after liquidating half the trading accounts in Korea, now Samsung and SK Hynix goes back to ATH’s. Imagine after liquidating Leopold, all the AI names goes back to ATH’s. Thanks for playing?
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