The $SPX is just 1.1% away from ATH’s. The $VIX is on pace for the calmest August month in 8 years. Wen does the midterm election pullback usually start? Askin’ for a friend.
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The $SPX is just 1.1% away from ATH’s. The $VIX is on pace for the calmest August month in 8 years. Wen does the midterm election pullback usually start? Askin’ for a friend.
· 57K Views
@Mr_Derivatives It doesn’t, had we had a bullish July maybe in a couple days. Instead it’s gonna be a September to remember (at least half) youtube.com/watch?v=Gs069dndIY…
@Mr_Derivatives midterm pullback historically starts mid september — vix this calm into aths is distribution in disguise
@Mr_Derivatives honestly the vix calm is the tell, not the spx
@Mr_Derivatives Highest-risk window roughly September → early/mid-October. Answer’ for a friend.
@Mr_Derivatives When will the Nasdaq 100 come back?
@Mr_Derivatives 纳斯达克 100 什么时候能回来?
@Mr_Derivatives Wake me up when September ends. We all know the midterm drill…this time won’t be different.
@Mr_Derivatives The VIX is telling an interesting story. My Oscillator Edge VIX Oscillator is currently above the 0 signal line, which I classify as a VIX calm-down period. x.com/alexale77488771/status/2…
@Mr_Derivatives When the printing press stops going brrrrr
@Mr_Derivatives $spy inside a huge rising wedge $dia facing a huge multi-weeks resistance too -I really doubt about a rally from here, they could hold it for few days but it's going down in the next weeks imo
@Mr_Derivatives Historically these pullbacks kick off around Sept/Oct, not August itself. 2018 dropped hard in Oct, 2014 was more of a Sept stumble. Calm VIX right now doesn't mean much though, it flipped fast both those years too.
@Mr_Derivatives $SPX Mechanical piece to the calm: $NVDA front-week implied vol was near 100 percent this morning against 39 for October, a 2.6x kink built around tonight. That comes out now the event cleared. How much reaches index vol is the open question.
@Mr_Derivatives The last Midterm when Trump was President was 2018 and it didn’t sell off until October
@Mr_Derivatives Yeah last week I bought $VIXM for a hedge. Flawless timing on this one 🥶
@Mr_Derivatives It’s already a given that midterms are a lost cause….everyone knows Trump is just hyper focused on pumping the absolute dogsh*** out of the markets any way he can before he gets impeached 🤷♂️I mean I hope it doesn’t happen but the writing is on the wall
@Mr_Derivatives Market has changed. Old predictions and set ups don’t apply anymore
@Mr_Derivatives Ít happened most likely in July. July usually is a green month
@Mr_Derivatives Considering the high octane POTUS we've got and the way the markets been since the election, I'd say it will happen suddenly, like the 'liberation day' sell-off.
@Mr_Derivatives Let’s prepare for stormy weather. It’s coming x.com/InquisitiveAnt/status/20…
@Mr_Derivatives Must be honest. I thought the Semis would have pulled us lower. NVDA just pumped it all back up. However, September should see some volatility...fingers crossed. Ive gone from a 6.6k pullback to 7k and now 7.2k lol. So fek knows.