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@amitisinvesting

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The U.S. reportedly offered Iran a deal to halt the siege and lift sanctions in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending proxy attacks, according to Al Arabiya. Axios also reports that Rubio told several foreign counterparts the U.S. does not plan new strikes on Iran for now, with pressure shifting toward the naval blockade and new sanctions campaign instead. Crude Oil fell 4% and the 10-year treasury bond fell from 4.72% to 4.62%. 2. Global physical gold-backed ETFs $GLD attracted $6.4B of inflows last week, their largest weekly intake since January and the 3rd-largest weekly inflow on record. North America led with $4.4B, followed by Europe at $1.7B and Asia at $300M. This marked the 7th straight week of inflows, with global gold ETFs pulling in $16.4B over that stretch. Total AUM in global gold ETFs rose by $33B last week to $615B, the highest level since the second week of May. 3. Intuit $INTU reported Q4’26 revenue of $4.4B, beating estimates of $4.27B and up 14% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $4.03 versus $3.58 expected. Global Business Solutions revenue rose 14% YoY to $3.4B, the Online Ecosystem grew 17% YoY to $2.6B, Consumer revenue increased 14% YoY to $930M, and Credit Karma revenue rose 16% YoY to $743M. For FY27, Intuit guided revenue to $23.3B–$23.5B versus $23.72B expected, while adjusted EPS guidance of $22.88–$23.12 came in well below the $27.32 estimate. The company also raised its dividend 15% YoY to $1.38/share, bought back $5.5B of stock, and has $7.9B remaining on its authorization. Management said its strategy is to win as an AI-driven expert platform while staying disciplined on investments and scaling its big bets. 4. President Trump said the U.S. Navy has removed and/or detonated all mines from international waters in the Strait of Hormuz. He said Iran has been notified that any ship or boat placing new mines will be “immediately and systematically destroyed.” Trump added that Space Force is monitoring every square inch of the Strait, along with Pickaxe Mountain and the three previously destroyed nuclear sites, and said a “Zero Tolerance” policy on mine placement is now in full effect. 5. Canada is responding to U.S. tariffs with new tariffs of its own. The country is raising steel tariffs to 50% from 25%, while roughly 700 products will face new tariff rates of 15%, 25%, and 50%. The measures are set to take effect on September 8, marking another escalation in the U.S.–Canada trade dispute. 6. Anthropic is expected to tell IPO investors its total addressable market exceeds $30T, topping SpaceX’s $28.5T estimate, according to WSJ. The figure represents the potential value of work Anthropic believes AI models could eventually perform, not a direct revenue forecast. Anthropic generated $11.6B in Q2 revenue and could seek to raise as much as $100B at roughly a $2T valuation. IPO documents are expected within weeks, potentially setting up a September or early October listing. 7. OpenAI’s data-center head Chris Malone left the company last week, according to WSJ. Malone joined in March 2025 shortly after Stargate was announced and played a key role overseeing OpenAI’s massive data-center buildout. He previously led data-center strategy at Meta and earlier worked on data-center technology at Google. The departure comes just weeks after OpenAI also replaced its chief revenue officer, adding another senior leadership change as the company races to scale infrastructure, revenue, and compute capacity. 8. ClickHouse has surpassed $350M in annual recurring revenue, up 40% since May, as AI agents drive demand for database and observability infrastructure. OpenAI’s usage has reportedly grown roughly 10x over the past year to more than 30 petabytes of data per day, or around 30T events daily. OpenAI has also shifted parts of its log-management workload from Datadog to ClickHouse over the past year. ClickHouse was valued at $15B in January and says gross margins currently range from 50%–70%. Earlier this year, the company acquired Langfuse to expand deeper into monitoring AI applications and agents. Nebius $NBIS owned a 28% stake in ClickHouse as of May 2025, though that stake has likely been diluted by subsequent fundraising. 9. JPMorgan reiterated its Overweight rating on SpaceX $SPCX with a $240 price target, saying the company’s AI ambitions are coming into sharper focus and that it is increasingly positive on Grok. The firm highlighted SpaceX’s completed acquisition of Cursor on 8/14 as an important step in building enterprise AI capabilities. Cursor brings roughly $4B of ARR as of June 2026, with about 75% coming from businesses, which JPMorgan says should help streamline go-to-market and provide valuable model-training data. The firm also said Cursor data is already showing up in Grok’s supplemental training, with tangible improvements in recent model performance. 10. OpenAI says its new Broadcom-built Jalapeno AI chip outperformed Nvidia $NVDA GB300 in both throughput per watt and response latency during internal testing, according to Bloomberg. The chip is built specifically for inference, not training, and runs at roughly 700 watts. OpenAI plans to begin deploying Jalapeno for its models later this year, saying the performance gap widened on larger workloads, including Moonshot’s Kimi model, and that the chip has also performed well on unreleased OpenAI models. The key caveat is that Jalapeno was tested against GB300, not Nvidia’s newer Vera Rubin generation. OpenAI says a second-generation chip is already nearing tape-out, while work on a third generation has begun. 11. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 1.8M contracts, $TSLA with 1.8M contracts, $AAPL with 636K contracts, $SPCX with 548K contracts, $INTC with 540K contracts, $AMZN with 498K contracts, $MU with 483K contracts, $AMD with 403K contracts, $PLTR with 361K contracts, and $SOFI with 359K contracts. 12. Raymond James raised its Nvidia $NVDA price target to $352 from $330 and reiterated a Strong Buy rating. The firm says Nvidia’s CPU opportunity is becoming more important, especially for agentic AI workloads, even though CPUs are only about 3% of sales today. Raymond James expects CPU revenue to reach roughly 5% of total revenue by CY28 and believes Nvidia could potentially become the world leader in CPU revenue within several years. The firm also argued the stock remains inexpensive, trading at less than 15x CY27 GAAP earnings, below the S&P 500 at 18.6x, despite sales and net income growth still expected to exceed 20% in CY28. Its new $352 target is based on a 22x multiple on CY28 estimates, which Raymond James views as conservative given Nvidia’s leadership, CUDA moat, GPU performance, free cash flow, and history of trading at much higher multiples. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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78 replies collected of 103 X reports
k @ItsAmeKaaay ·

@amitisinvesting Amit, why dont you stream on X aswell anymore? just youtube. come back on here aswell :)

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Cash Flow Files @CashFlowFiles · D

@amitisinvesting Days like this are a good reminder that markets don’t move on one story. Rates, geopolitics, earnings and positioning can all hit at once.

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Wealthonomic @Wealthonomic · D

@amitisinvesting Tomorrow will be even better with $NVDA reporting earnings 👀

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Muhammad Talha @MTalha16116579 · D

@amitisinvesting So the market’s got more twists than my morning coffee, and now we’re adding diplomatic espresso shots to the mix. x.com/MTalha16116579/status/20…

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StarBuccaneers @Starbuccaneers · B

@amitisinvesting We can clearly see Trump's under political pressure to exit Iran war. He's trying everything he can to get out.

7 105
InsomniaLK @InsomniaLK · D

@amitisinvesting The market going that hard over a potential Strait of Hormuz deal is wild. I can barely keep up with the daily headlines let alone the price action.

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Jorge Socarras Jr @JuliettesDadJ6 ·

@amitisinvesting Great content my bro appreciate this ! 🙏⚔️

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AStupidBull @rkroutbbsr · C

@amitisinvesting No updates on biotech companies !!! Lot of buzz there as well !!!

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Sterling Desk @SterlingDeskFX · D

@amitisinvesting The noise is enormous, but the regime shift is hiding in the cross-asset signals. Oil down, yields down, gold inflows up, AI capex accelerating. Markets are rotating risk rather than simply adding it. That distinction matters.

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RaoulDuke @RaoulDukeDegen · D

@amitisinvesting cursor being based on vscode makes the acquisition perfect for coding tools

liquidated (Dev Arc) @liquidated0x · D

@amitisinvesting spacex getting cusrot under the hood changes the ai game fr

KRD @RedDevi52539977 · D

@amitisinvesting There was a reason $INTU estimates were less and you didn’t mention that. Partly coz of SBC

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Tacoeater314 @TacoEater314 · D

@amitisinvesting Bankers, "analysts", and algos are not the GREATEST SHOW.

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Tom | Invests @stockswithtom · B

@amitisinvesting tomorrow is the big day lol

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Steve Invests @SteveInvests37 ·

@amitisinvesting This is MUST READ everyday.

Stock Mom™ @stockmom · 45K A

@amitisinvesting Love it but way too much to read. I asked grock to summarize it for me. Thanks kiddo.

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MingZhiLiang @CatoLiang · 44K D

@amitisinvesting In the AI era, workers all over the world—especially knowledge workers—must immediately abandon the fatal illusion that “politics has nothing to do with me and I can enjoy peace and quiet”!👇x.com/catoliang/status/2092205…

Joog Sports @TheJoogOnSports ·

@amitisinvesting Thank you sir

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Avi @avinair ·
adventagious @Bradvantagious · C

@amitisinvesting Couldn't get past 1 as I have no reason to believe it to be true though pakistan has said and iran confirmed that Pakistan has a proposal from Iran. If you beleave what iran says is in it, its a nonstarter and not news worth mentioning

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TianaTa @TianaTa3005 ·

@amitisinvesting Wall Street never sleeps. Today’s biggest theme: geopolitics, gold, and AI colliding

DarkLink.eth 🎏 @Linkinthedark · A

@amitisinvesting $PLTR options contracts back in the list ✌️

Bobidoc @bobidoc ·

@amitisinvesting Thanks Amit! I read it every market day.

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MNX @MNX_fi · C

@amitisinvesting Long Anthropic? Trade Pre-IPO Futures on MNX.fi

Derrick Dao @derrick_dao · D

@amitisinvesting The US-Iran deal offer is the oil story today, not the $2 drop. Hormuz is still where ~20M bbl/day of supply sits.

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Fuelmeup @fuelmeupcc · D

Roughly 20% of global oil moves through that single chokepoint daily. Restoring Hormuz traffic in a month under Iran's terms is precisely why crude prices eased and gas at the pump dropped. Reports say the arrangement pairs sanctions relief on Iranian barrels with $300bn in rebuilding cash.

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Inside KOSPI @InsideKOSPI_ ·

Adding the Asia leg since it ran after you posted. We are midday here. KOSPI up 1.47% at 6,842, Samsung up 2.3%, Hynix up 2.4%. Memory is leading the tape again. Worth saying that KOSPI is still about 27% under its June high even on a green day like this. The AI trade did not break in Korea. It just got a lot more expensive to keep holding.

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Chris Milas 🐂 @chrismilas · D

@amitisinvesting @grok although Amit is great, did he miss anything?

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Tacoeater314 @TacoEater314 · D

@amitisinvesting Speaking of GREATEST SHOWS, you skipped Dolly Parton's I Will Always Love You, made famous by Whitney Houston. You've heard of Whitney, right? RIP Dolly.

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Trevor Boswell @Trapezerigging ·

@amitisinvesting I am puzzled by these so called analysts, that think AI is the core of the financial system. It is NOT! DEBT and overleveraged financing and investments via the Yen carry trade is where the focus should be. These moonshot valution forecasts are misleading!

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Insider Stock Picks @invstockpicks · D

@amitisinvesting Markets are juggling several major catalysts.

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Farm Kid not Pharm-kid @sumbodywatchnu ·

@amitisinvesting @grok access 11. and provide the put to call ratio for each.

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Chlooe🎀 @chloewigglz ·

@amitisinvesting the navy detonating mines then saying zero tolerance while space force watches is so on brand for this administration lol

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MAXIMUM @neXam15 ·

@amitisinvesting @grok summarize this tweet please

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Frustrated Hedgy @FrusteredHedgy ·

@amitisinvesting This is awesome - thank you!

Jobbi Pobbi @Jobbi_Pobbi ·

@amitisinvesting Legendary, every day

Connect 4 Capital @connect4capital · D

@amitisinvesting AI infrastructure remains the biggest story.

TheOne @MetaKrypto ·
method to markets @imSodamnTrader ·
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Pierre @PMogga · C

@amitisinvesting Crazy to read that in China the most popular fund is the Physical Gold ETF.

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HiMadridista @HIMadridista808 ·

@amitisinvesting Can we just get rid of AI before it kills us all

Ken @teruteru_bonsu · D

@amitisinvesting can everyone stop raising TP for Nvidia? getting tired of this BS

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Jaydeep @NathwaniJaydeep ·

@amitisinvesting @grook summarise please

Nishant 🇮🇳 @Nishantaero ·

@amitisinvesting Bhai how does all this impact market ? Woh b to bata do ?

Kevin Kiwanuka @kiwanuka_d · D
Amy 1776 @AmyLomasney ·

@amitisinvesting So retelling the lie about mines is great reporting. The mines are not the issue. This sounds like regurgitation to me. Not journalism.

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Freedom @easy17i ·

@amitisinvesting 👍 top

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Ce Ce | AI & Systems Infra @pusulainfra ·

@amitisinvesting #10 is the important one. Inference is splitting from training hardware. Once you’re serving, watts and latency beat peak FLOPs. New silicon doesn’t save you if memory util and KV growth are still unbounded.

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