Skip to content
Archive

Post

Back to @amitisinvesting

A amitisinvesting
amit
@amitisinvesting

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. CoreWeave $CRWV reported Q2’26 revenue of $2.6B, slightly ahead of estimates of $2.56B, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.5B versus $1.43B expected and adjusted EBITDA margin of 59%. Revenue backlog reached roughly $104B, up 46% YoY, while active power more than tripled YoY to 1.5GW and contracted power increased to 4.2GW. CoreWeave raised FY26 guidance to $12.4B–$13.2B in revenue and $960M–$1.15B in adjusted operating income, while lifting its active power target to more than 1.85GW. The company now expects year-end annualized run-rate revenue of $18.5B–$19.5B, managed inference ARR above $250M exiting 2026, and long-term active power of 8GW+ by 2030. Management said customer demand is accelerating as enterprise adoption broadens and its platform deepens. 2. Gemini has become $GOOGL Google’s fastest-growing product ever, crossing 1B monthly users and becoming the company’s 14th product to reach the billion-user milestone. The scale-up underscores how quickly Google is pushing Gemini across Search, Android, Workspace, and its broader AI ecosystem. 3. BofA downgraded AppLovin $APP to Neutral with a $400 price target, saying risks to the company’s long-term 30% YoY revenue growth trajectory have increased. Analyst Omar Dessouky said post-Q2 growth appears to be driven more by engineer-directed improvements to Gaming models, while it is less clear whether the prior 3%–5% QoQ self-learning growth assumption still applies. BofA also noted that with AppLovin’s high relative market share, estimated at roughly 2x its next-largest competitor, long-term growth from self-learning alone may be harder to sustain than the market previously assumed. 4. President Trump is reportedly weighing a capital gains tax cut ahead of the midterms, including the idea of indexing capital gains to inflation before taxes are calculated. Under that approach, investors would only owe taxes on the inflation-adjusted “real” gain, not the full nominal gain. For example, if someone bought a business or stock position for $2M and sold it years later for $5M, the nominal gain would be $3M. But if cumulative inflation over that period was 25%, the inflation-adjusted cost basis would rise to $2.5M, leaving only $2.5M of taxable real gain instead of $3M. Trump has also floated capital gains exemptions for home sales worth $2M or less. There has not been a major U.S. capital gains tax cut since 2003. 5. Senator Bernie Sanders has reportedly called on major AI companies to pause development, sending letters to the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta, according to NYT. The push adds to the growing political scrutiny around frontier AI development, safety, and whether the largest labs should slow deployment as model capabilities continue advancing. 6. Apple $AAPL is reportedly still planning a glass-centric iPhone redesign for the device’s 20th anniversary in 2027, contrary to a Jefferies report that said it had been canceled, according to Bloomberg. The new Pro models are expected to feature glass that curves into the sides, with a metal band running through the middle. 7. U.S. existing home sales fell 1.7% in July to a 4.06M annualized pace, slightly above estimates. Median existing home prices rose 2% YoY to $434,100, while inventory increased to 1.54M homes. The data points to a housing market that is still soft on transaction volume, but with prices remaining resilient as supply continues to build. 8. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.2M contracts, $TSLA with 1.4M contracts, $SPCX with 861K contracts, $AAPL with 823K contracts, $MU with 664K contracts, $AMZN with 568K contracts, $PLTR with 559K contracts, $INTC with 555K contracts, $GOOGL with 546K contracts, and $HTZ with 518K contracts. 9. Supermicro $SMCI reported Q4’26 revenue of $11.1B, below estimates of $11.55B, but adjusted EPS came in at $1.70 versus $0.96 expected, up 315% YoY. Gross margin expanded to 17.5%, up 800 bps YoY, while net income reached $1.2B, adjusted EBITDA was $1.7B, and operating income came in at $1.5B. For Q1, Supermicro guided revenue to $14.5B–$15.5B, well above estimates of $11.68B, with adjusted EPS of $1.01–$1.10. For FY27, the company guided revenue to $65B$72B, far ahead of the $52.5B estimate. Management said Supermicro generated more than $60B in new orders and entered fiscal 2027 with record backlog, while improving profitability through a richer enterprise customer mix and broader adoption of its optimized Data Center Building Block Solutions architecture. 10. Stifel reiterated its Buy rating on Rocket Lab $RKLB and raised its price target to $132, saying the company delivered a “beat and raise” quarter with Q2 results ahead of expectations across revenue, margins, and EBITDA. Rocket Lab signed 26 new Electron/HASTE missions, expanded total launch backlog to more than 90 missions, and grew overall backlog to roughly $2.4B, with another $800M of bookings added after quarter-end. Stifel also highlighted accelerating Space Systems revenue as SDA programs ramp, multiple defense awards, and continued progress on Neutron, which remains on schedule for pad delivery in Q4’26. The firm said Rocket Lab’s Iridium acquisition, GHOST launch system, defense exposure, backlog visibility, and limited competition create a compelling long-term risk/reward despite near-term cash burn. 11. Schwab clients were net buyers of ETFs and equities in July by a 2:1 ratio. The top stocks bought were $SPCX, $MU, $INTC, $ORCL, and $TSLA, while the top stocks sold were $AAPL, $AVGO, $ADBE, $PYPL, and $AMD. The data shows retail leaning back into high-beta AI, memory, and space-linked names while trimming exposure to some of the market’s more mature tech leaders. 12. The SEC is reportedly preparing to roll out two major crypto initiatives $BTC $ETH as the Clarity Act stalls in Congress, according to Bloomberg. The agency will hold an open meeting Friday to create a tailored offering regime for certain crypto-related investment contracts. The SEC is also expected to unveil an “innovation exemption” for trading tokenized securities, potentially paving the way for 24/7 trading of stock tokens on blockchains. Details could be released as soon as Friday, though the proposal is still being finalized and could change. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

· 175K Views

69 Reposts 5 Quotes 1.4K Likes 214 Bookmarks
replies reposts likes
61 replies collected of 81 X reports
Jay Lee @dirt_mason ·

@amitisinvesting Much love to the 'Weave

Tom | Invests @stockswithtom ·

@amitisinvesting I hope $APP will go below $300, would buy heavy

1 2
amit• Precise Market Analysis @Sergio67252483 ·

@amitisinvesting Backlog is the real story here—$70B+ locked in changes the whole risk profile. x.com/i/grok/share/149a77f42be…

amit• Precise Market Analysis @LeonardoNaum ·

@amitisinvesting The revenue backlog number got cut off, but that's the real story here—it shows where the next few quarters are headed. x.com/i/grok/share/df177d526d5…

4 3
NoiselessTrading @neha041187 ·

@amitisinvesting The capital gains indexing talk + SEC crypto moves in the same day… markets are about to get even more interesting into the midterms.

wenjie @injoker1231 ·

@amitisinvesting Bernie is just so dumb, wants the US to lose to China because socialism I guess

2 16
vooidds @vooidds ·

@amitisinvesting and the koreans are back bidding

amit• Precise Market Analysis @ZULKARNAlN ·

@amitisinvesting Numbers beat but margins and backlog are what really matter long-term. x.com/i/grok/share/df177d526d5…

3 3
YCM @YCM47233993 ·

@amitisinvesting Appreciate all you do bro but please get some sleep 😆

2 2
bacon @steve2bacon · 19K

@amitisinvesting #9 was the most important

1 14
Black House Capital @blackhousecap ·

@amitisinvesting Thanks for the summary on $CRWV. Steong future going into next year and 2030.

1

@amitisinvesting My market view ⬇️⬇️ Backlog strength remains the real signal here, not the headline beat. premarketdesks.com/t/tier1-v1-…

3 3
$OSSbull @OSSBULLGC ·

@amitisinvesting Does the USA have a 50% capital gains discount after holding for 12 months? If so, I think that is likely to go and be replaced too

1
Ryan Pawelek @pawelek94079 ·

@amitisinvesting Thanks Amit, but please get some sleep dude 😅

1
amit• Precise Market Analysis @Liliam0512 ·

@amitisinvesting The stock moved on guidance, not the beat—backlog quality is what really matters here. x.com/i/grok/share/df177d526d5…

4 3
Koltron @koltron0x ·

@amitisinvesting keep it going please 🙏🏽

Cardi Bee Wap @CardiBeeWap ·

@amitisinvesting Backlog got cha

Bob T @kelly_joe38751 ·

@amitisinvesting You forgot $ONDS is jumping on Thursday

3
Jake Ober @jakestakes7 ·

@amitisinvesting Fuckin send everything

Jason Beck @JasonBeck11775 ·

@amitisinvesting Always appreciate your daily reviews Amit. 🤝

2
梭哈.AI @SUOHA_AI · 28K

@amitisinvesting gemini竟然增长这么快??十分意外 x.com/SUOHA_AI/status/20873756…

The Stock Up @TheStockUp_ ·

@amitisinvesting I can’t take all of this 🤣 x.com/TheStockUp_/status/20873…

The Strat @StratsLabs ·

@amitisinvesting I’m waiting for what $NBIS has to offer. Going with strong expectations.

1
MAGS @TAftermath2020 · 112K

@amitisinvesting Wow thanks for this in depth post. Love it

4
MingZhiLiang @CatoLiang · 44K

金融圈的精英们:金融是否越来越不按传统套路啦?是不是越来越诡异啦?是不是很多现象颠覆了原来的认知啦?那是因为传统的经济学已死,它无法解释AI时代的经济现象了。什么是经济?人类每一时代的经济都有其独特的表现方式(即形态),有了解过吗?现在AI时代,它的形态是怎样的? 为什么资本投资赚钱的时代已经过去了,实业不用说,跟投被人骗,投机金融被人割韭菜。AI时代,劳动力过剩就算了,资本还过剩?这就是技术繁荣经济却衰败,社会混乱的根源。靠买股票、期货、炒货币等金融投机赚钱?哈哈还是小心一点,市场随时崩盘。记住是我说的。👇 x.com/catoliang/status/2085329…

@amitisinvesting I live these posts to read at the end of the day. Great work!! Saves me time and informs me well.

1
Snoopy Trades™️ @MrSnoopyTrades ·
1 1
Tai Juan Semiconductor @SolutionOrganic ·

@amitisinvesting People still invest in crypto?

1
MyWealthApp @mywealthapp ·

@amitisinvesting AI infrastructure names are being valued on 2027–2030 demand, while APP’s downgrade is basically a debate over how long extraordinary growth can stay extraordinary.

TheCoderBTW @TheCoderBtw ·

@amitisinvesting Supermicro's Q1 guide at 14.5-15.5B vs 11.68B estimate is a massive beat. The margin expansion to 17.5% is the real story there.

1
Jay @jiwanpark1014 ·

@amitisinvesting this recap is so good always

on a coffee break @AmbreEarnhart ·

@amitisinvesting So we just not gonna talk about $LITE’s perfect -oh we going back to 1k land,—earnings? … Okaayy.

Premium Hunter 🏹 @PremiumHunter ·

@amitisinvesting Ded 😂😂😂 @BernieSanders

Kevin L @KevinL1043839 ·

@amitisinvesting trump thing is just plain market manipulation. who would sell their stock now if they thought capital gains cut was coming.

Shaun Gold | Venture Comedy @butshaunn ·

@amitisinvesting Wall Street never sleeps.

@amitisinvesting The cross-market angle is probably the biggest advantage here. Being able to move between crypto and TradFi without changing platforms is useful for active traders.

1
Dealing.Com @dealinginvest ·

Item 12 is the quiet headline here. Regulators starting to build a framework for tokenised securities is a bigger deal than most of the day's stock moves; it's the plumbing for a world where markets could trade 24/7 and ownership isn't bound by borders or hours. The future of access is being written right now.

1
KapG @TheKapG ·

@amitisinvesting Bernie sanders is such a parasite lmao

1
Insider Stock Picks @invstockpicks ·

@amitisinvesting AI infrastructure demand remains absolutely relentless.

The Margin of Upside @CrescensFuturum ·

@amitisinvesting What about point 4? Is President Trump preparing for a huge cash out after pumping all his stocks? 😂

TK Edge Lab @quantX02ge ·

@amitisinvesting $SMCI‘s beat was really the margin. GM doubled to ~17.5% from 9.5% YoY, flipping a small revenue miss into the EPS beat. FY27 guide of $65-72B towers over the ~$54B Street number, though negative operating cash flow is the quiet offset.

PID_Invest @simpletrader131 ·

@amitisinvesting $CRWV receiving sugar daddy money claimed as incomes? This thing fked.

3 6
PID_Invest @simpletrader131 ·

@amitisinvesting $MU gonna get fked over with all of the delays in infrastructure buildouts to 5 years due to power distribution component shortages.

FantasyManDan @FantasyManDan ·

@amitisinvesting $LITE was the most impressive. 🤷‍♂️

1 replies whose parent comment X withheld

bacon @steve2bacon · 19K

@amitisinvesting smci if the street wasnt racist x.com/steve2bacon/status/20873…

1 5

These were collected in full; the comment they answer was not returned by X.