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amit
@amitisinvesting

so…the S&P is basically at ATHs Trump has said 7 different times this week that he wants a deal with Iran Bessent said a ceasefire could be announced over the weekend Rate hike probabilities tanked by 20% today because of the labor market data $PLTR is up 40% in a week…which means the software stocks are finally getting the respect they deserve including $MSFT $RDDT $SHOP earnings continue to compound aggressively the super high-beta semi names are consolidating like $MU $NBIS which isn’t bearish at all, especially when their growth continues to be massive hyperscalers continue to spend on capex and cloud growth rates are showing the ROI leverage also has been wiped out significantly feels like we could be setting up for an end of year run IF hikes are out of the picture and earnings continue strong the main bear case felt like oil/leverage/war/hikes my only fear is OpenAI and Anthropic’s numbers not being meaningful enough to carry out their spending commitments but those will be shown over time if those broader bear cases are not as relevant as inflation comes down…maybe we can continue with the momentum

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Miguel @MDCTrades305 ·

@amitisinvesting Definitely higher soon !

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AustinFindsAlpha @AustinsStocks ·
AimUsurper @AimUsurper ·

@amitisinvesting If true SPY 800 inevitable 👀

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MarkusGZ @markus_gz ·

@amitisinvesting No way hikes happen, may even get a surprise cut

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Tito_krypto @Mrflow91583526 ·

@amitisinvesting This is bull trap n the making. Just like it happens every cycle IMO

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Brett Krieger @BrettKrieger12 · 16K

@amitisinvesting We're so back

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p dilly @paulmatleo ·

@amitisinvesting and GRAB is 3.67

VPTrades @vptrades ·

@amitisinvesting Midterm years usually bring a ton of volatility. As much as I love being a bull I can't get behind a massive move to the upside just yet. Still think we see some drawdown in the coming months.

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Diligent Plane @DiligentPlane ·

@amitisinvesting Higher Amit. Way fucking higher

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Weiss @guyweiss98 ·

@amitisinvesting Lol, yeah stocks go up forever… we are never going down… You permabulls are crazy a little I won't lie, good luck to whoever is buying here

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Morpheu5 Stock Watcher @Morpheu5Watcher ·

@amitisinvesting I think it's going to wind down for real this time. Soon, at the very most.

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Sigurd Drivenes @Sigurd_Drivenes ·

@amitisinvesting OpenAI and Anthropic going public could be detrimental to the AI sector, their numbers will control the macro too much

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Viktoria @Viktoria5z ·

Markets can absorb a lot of headlines when rate expectations and geopolitical risk move in the same direction. I'd be careful treating this as a durable shift. A possible ceasefire and falling rate-hike odds can lift everything at once. That still leaves the question: which move survives the next headline? I want follow-through in the data and an actual agreement before calling it a new trend. The first reaction is positioning. The second reaction is information.

Tacoeater314 @TacoEater314 ·

@amitisinvesting BS. Iran knows we have no ammo. WHY would they stop now?

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VibeDiligence @CoverageRatio ·

@amitisinvesting Agree and I'm not a doomer. But seems like times like this are when black swan risk starts to form. beginning to fear some type of major AI event - eg federal reserve, powergrid, water systems suffering some massive cyber attack at the hands of AI

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Miguel @MDCTrades305 ·

@amitisinvesting Do you like $NBIS ? And btw congrats on your $PLTR holding !!!

THEANTSPILOTRO @THEANTSPILOTRO ·

@amitisinvesting What about mid terms

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Mr Block24 @Mrblock24 ·

@amitisinvesting Trump is probably getting his “locked and loaded” tweet about Iran ready for the weekend. 😅

Pedro ayara @Pedroayaray4 ·

@amitisinvesting Good times

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INSIDER @x_insider4 ·

@amitisinvesting Ceasefire weekend and rate cuts incoming. The perfect setup for a pump. Or a rug.

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Zaid @zaidaleem11 ·

@amitisinvesting When are OAI and Anthropic numbers coming out next?

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The Smart Investing Mindset @tweet_tj ·

@amitisinvesting I thought Iran was “scum”, and we don’t deal with them?

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Yousif Ashknani @AshknKW ·

@amitisinvesting Too many bullish signals in a short period usually end up in a blowoff top.

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TheAITrade @AgenticAsh ·

@amitisinvesting Agree but also want to call out, $MSFT is not running because of $PLTR earnings. $MSFT hit the ball out the park lol Also, you might want to hold off on any predictions till $NBIS and $CRWV earnings. The future hyperscalars may have a positive (hopefully) / or bearish impact! :)

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Nic Cruz Patane @niccruzpatane · 121K

@amitisinvesting My my how things change so quickly

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Prospero.ai @prospero_ai · 30K

@amitisinvesting It does seem like no matter where weakness has shown itself this year, so far another area of the market has been able to carry the momentum higher. See no reason why a rolling bull market shouldn’t continue.

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Sterling Labs @sl_wire ·

$PLTR unusual options flow over 5d, $1.07B premium, 88.9% in calls, but inferred aggressor direction is 50.6% bullish vs 49.4% bearish on 93.6% coverage - that 50.6/49.4 split means the PLTR options tape everyone's reading as bullish conviction is actually a coin flip on direction…

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RP3 @RP3onX ·

@amitisinvesting End of year run from September- December to follow the January-August run.

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MychaelP @MP_InTheMoney ·

@amitisinvesting And inflation still over 50% higher than mandate for over 5 years now. People are struggling more and more. While greed and price gouging causing earnings to rise

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amit-Assistant @amitisinvesting @Kenya270513 ·

@amitisinvesting My trend summary ⬇️⬇️ Risk-on signals stacking up fast, but watch for headline whiplash into the weekend. premarketdesks.com/t/tier1-v1-…

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ScreenFeast @Screen_Feast ·

@amitisinvesting Pretty sure US frontier labs get nationalized by the end of it

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Dolly Dagger @Cookie1inPA ·

@amitisinvesting Enjoy the time with your family visit, Amit. Thanks for everything and have a great weekend!

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RMJ @TexasGunz100 ·

@amitisinvesting Amit Make Sure You Watch Wayne’s World when you have time take care of your family first God Bless

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Evolution Trading @EvolutionTrade6 ·

@amitisinvesting See Bessent's recent comments re Hormuz. He's prepping, messaging an end to the conflict. Not a ceasefire, and end, IMO.

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Fake Sanvi @sanvi_coder ·

@amitisinvesting Waiting for $SOFI , $HOOD and $BMNR to take off soon! And finally $GRAB

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ColinTrades @colintrades1 ·

These factors are when mainstream media want you to look at. Right now positioning is all that matters and watching when it gets crowded. The bear factors to watch are VIX and how many ppl took leverage through calls (and keep adding) through this dip We tanked before on positioning imbalance and probably will again in the future

Olivia Benalla @Benalla561283 ·

@amitisinvesting The OpenAI and Anthropic spend commitments are the quiet dependency for a lot of the AI infrastructure thesis. If their revenue or utilization numbers come in light when they eventually surface, how quickly do you think the hyperscaler capex narrative would adjust?

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D @Uncle_Husein ·

@amitisinvesting Thanks good analysis. I do not use leverage, but my margin dropped from 35% to 10%. I feel that many good companies went down significantly from their high, so I am holding for better days. I am still up a good & up ytd.

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BRIAN FARRELL @BRIANFARRELLART ·

@amitisinvesting Forgot poly says chances of recession went to almost zero

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Catalina wine mixer @hghumphrey ·

@amitisinvesting I like how you think!

Follow the light @Fllw_the_light ·

@amitisinvesting This is financial advice, right? x.com/Fllw_the_light/status/20…

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Risky Bagz @riskybagz ·

@amitisinvesting Does openai and anthropic matter? Whether the model companies succeed or not companies are going to be using the compute through frontier models or open models or a combination of models. Data centers will continue to go brrr.

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Tramp @vorschlag__ ·

@amitisinvesting Wen Meta?!?!

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TD @DAWSOTR ·

@amitisinvesting Leverage at all time high. Think you have facts wrong there.

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Justin 🏴‍☠️ @piratestocks100 ·

@amitisinvesting You act like the war will be over lol how do you have this platform?

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Jake @Jake492191091 ·

@amitisinvesting Completely made up all of this…no peace deal will come with trump in power. Also most these AI companies are just passing investments between them its a bubble.

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Dr Nik @DrNShah4 ·

@amitisinvesting Also worth noting that the UK has lifted restrictions on buying TSMC and SK Hynix in our tax wrapper accounts. Expect huge inflows!

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Jeff Lutz 🔋 @thejefflutz · 59K

@amitisinvesting Great summary and solid take. Thank you

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