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* DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
@DeItaone

🚨 U.S. CPI DAY: WALL STREET VS. THE MARKET 🏦 Wall Street headline CPI forecasts: 🔸Kalshi: 3.30% 🔸Citi: 3.30% 🔸Goldman Sachs: 3.35% 🔸UBS: 3.39% 🔸BofA: 3.40% 🔸SocGen: 3.40% 🔸Barclays: 3.40% 🔸Morgan Stanley: 3.40% 🔸Wells Fargo: 3.40% A print above or below this narrow range could trigger a sharp market reaction. kalshi.com/markets/kxcpiyoy/in…

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40 replies collected of 45 X reports
planett @nextplanett ·

@DeItaone this mean i should fullport longs at 8:29am?

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Roman @romandotfun ·

@DeItaone Let me consult my personal AI

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Rand Group @randgroup · 351K

@DeItaone 3.3% lets go

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JunoVeroEsq @JunoVero ·

@DeItaone These numbers don’t matter any more lol. It’s wild.

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@DeItaone 🔼 Time > Timing.

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@DeItaone The forecasts. Trade accordingly.

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Macro Bombastic @MacroBombastic · 10K

@DeItaone tight range, any deviation will move markets fast

Azraël @azrael_options ·

@DeItaone The narrow forecast band means the market has already priced in a specific CPI number. The real trigger is a print outside that range. Watch how equities and yields react to the actual data, not the headline. Positioning is what matters.

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nim @nim_alert ·

@DeItaone Kalshi partnership literally ruined your content, how poor are you to need that?

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Daryl @darylspelman ·

@DeItaone Such a critical number as the midterms approach

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Carwyn @PinwVN ·

@DeItaone Narrow range like this usually means the market is coiled and ready to explode either way. 3.3–3.4% is the consensus cage. Anything outside and we get the classic “surprise” volatility. Buckle up.

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Varun Gupta @VarunGu15844769 ·

@DeItaone @grok explain what the CPI forecast is to me as if I am layman - what it comprises of, how it’s calculated and how it affects markets

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hey.tgirls 🔥 @Ziggy42596 ·

@DeItaone If they all pick the same number, maybe the market just wants a group selfie with inflation. 💪

K-Line @Maddere7 · 12K

@DeItaone Kalshi和Citi都押3.30%,但要是真低于这个数,美联储9月降息概率得飙到多少?我上次就栽在预期差上,这回先观望

Bimba @BimbaCrypto ·

@DeItaone 3.30% to 3.40% is a tight range but calling it a sharp trigger feels like overhype market already priced in most of this

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TapeSignal @TapeSignal ·

@DeItaone cpi print into a tape thats already pricing cuts is the setup where a hot number does the most damage. everyones long the disinflation story, so positioning is the risk here not the data itself

Hecameup @hecameup ·

@DeItaone Kalshi 🤡

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GalloVerdun @VerdunGallo ·

@DeItaone If anyone is confused what it means, if cpi comes Up, down or as forecasted, market will dump anyway, hope this helps

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OJ @_OHZ_ ·

@DeItaone this could get very tasty

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Stockpecker @stockpecker_app ·

@DeItaone Big day for Nasdaq and other assets. x.com/stockpecker_app/status/2…

Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro ·

@DeItaone The main question is whether July confirmed a genuine cooling in inflation or merely reflected temporary declines in energy prices

JooHyunRyu🌱 @midnightmusicth ·

@DeItaone Iceland, Greenland and Spain get the totality path while the US only sees a partial eclipse. Not being the main event doesn't mean you're not part of the story worth showing up for.

Afalon @AfalOnline ·

@DeItaone Fake numbers

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KingpinPro @KingPin_Pro ·

@DeItaone Theres an inline to weak bias that the market is already pricing in. Therefore, inline or hot will spike yields and markets dump. Weak would likely be a positive for markets and neutral to negative for yields. But it does also seem markets tend to ignore CPI recently.

Peaceful Warrior @RanjYousif ·

@DeItaone every line on that board is headline. the street's whole disagreement is a 10bp band, 3.30 to 3.40. my read: nobody trades headline today, core services + shelter is what actually moves the tape and it's not even on the list.

나비 @changemindlike ·

@DeItaone A measured response seems fair here. There are encouraging details, but also enough pressure to stay cautious.

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The Stock Up @TheStockUp_ ·

@DeItaone kalshi and citi both at 3.30%, everyone else clustered 3.35-3.40. tight range means even a small surprise moves markets hard in either direction

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DippityDip @Sathya91 ·

@DeItaone Question. If fed decides to cut interest rate while BoJ remains hawkish. This will narrow the gap between US interest rate and Japan interest rate. Wouldn't this cause carry trade to unwind?

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Nyck S @DaRealNyckS ·

@DeItaone When do the numbers get released?

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FAF Financial @fafmadethis ·

@DeItaone 3.2% lock it in

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Riyadex Financials @RiyadexF ·

@DeItaone When every forecast looks this comfortable the real trade usually starts with the surprise

Winston B. @DoDataThings ·

@DeItaone Nine desks clustered in a 10bp band, and Kalshi's still tighter than half of them despite having no economists on staff, just traders with money on the line.

K.Beauty.Arena🍉 @kbeautyarena ·

@DeItaone Appreciate the update. Keep it coming.