NINNTENDOさん3ヶ月でEPS127円稼いでいるのに通期EPS268円予想って、、、? 伝統芸の超保守的予想って単に株主イジメじゃないのか 大風呂敷EPS出した方が外人狂い買い来やすいし
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NINNTENDOさん3ヶ月でEPS127円稼いでいるのに通期EPS268円予想って、、、? 伝統芸の超保守的予想って単に株主イジメじゃないのか 大風呂敷EPS出した方が外人狂い買い来やすいし
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@cissan_9984 Nintendo's conservative forecasts are a regular thing, but this time they're being a bit too cautious (lol). Considering the full-scale launch of the next-generation console (Switch 2) and the upcoming holiday shopping season in the second half of the year, they're probably leaving room for an upward revision... The tough part is that the guidance includes the initial sales from overseas.
@cissan_9984 任天堂の保守的予想はいつもの伝統芸だけど、さすがに今回は慎重すぎますよね(笑)下期に次世代機(スイッチ2)の本格的な動きや年末商戦が控えてるのを考えると、上方修正の含みを持たせてるんでしょうけど…。ガイダンスで海外勢が一旦売ってくるまでがセットなのが辛いところです。
@cissan_9984 I believe Nintendo's stock price will rise tomorrow 🙏
@cissan_9984 任天堂、明日は株価上がってくれると信じてます🙏
@cissan_9984 That's a typical conservative prediction for Nintendo. They should be a bit more aggressive.
@cissan_9984 任天堂らしい保守的な予想ですね。 もうちょい攻めるべきでしょう。
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's forecast is way too conservative 😅 I think their full-year EPS could be a bit higher 💦
@cissan_9984 NINTENDOさんは超保守的予想すぎますね😅 もう少し通期EPS高くてもいい気がしますが💦
@cissan_9984 That's a bad habit of Japanese companies, especially those with a long history. I wish they'd just go all out and make a big, flashy forecast to inspire their employees.
@cissan_9984 日本企業、特に歴史の長い企業の悪い通例ですよね どうせならドカーンと派手な予想出してそれに向かって社員を鼓舞するくらいでいてほしいですね
@cissan_9984 That's exactly right.
@cissan_9984 その通りなのだ
@cissan_9984 This value system that considers conventional Japanese conservative predictions a virtue is something that can only be shared within Japan. Since the big players are foreigners, isn't it about time we graduated from being a Galapagos?
@cissan_9984 この日本の慣習的な保守的予想を美徳とする価値観は、日本国内だけでしか共有できない。大口は外国勢なのだから、もうそろそろガラパゴスを卒業してもいいのでは?
@cissan_9984 They're so conservative 😭 But with this stock price, their potential must be incredible💦
@cissan_9984 保守的なんですよね〜😭 これでこの株価ですから潜在力半端ない💦はず、、
@cissan_9984 That's definitely bullying of a major shareholder 😅
@cissan_9984 まったく大株主イジメですね😅
@cissan_9984 I can't help but think there's a huge bombshell planted in the second quarter and beyond.
@cissan_9984 第2四半期以降にとんでもない爆弾が仕込まれてるのではと思ってしまいます。
@cissan_9984 Just as I expected.
@cissan_9984 予想通りでしたね
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's signature "conservative forecast" is in full effect again this time 😂 Are you all assuming an upward revision?
@cissan_9984 任天堂名物の「保守予想」、今回も発動ですね😂 皆さんは上方修正前提で見ていますか?
@cissan_9984 Every time I see this prediction, I can't help but wonder, "Are they really going with those numbers?" 🤔
@cissan_9984 この予想、毎回「本当にその数字でいくの?」ってなりますよね🤔
@cissan_9984 Conversely, it could be seen as leaving room for an upward revision. What do you all think?
@cissan_9984 逆に言うと、上方修正の余地を残しているとも見えますね。皆さんはどう考えますか?
@cissan_9984 From the perspective of overseas investors, I think a slightly more bullish guidance might be interesting. 👀
@cissan_9984 海外投資家目線だと、もう少し強気ガイダンスでも面白そうな気はします👀
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's earnings forecasts are traditionally conservative, but I think many people were surprised this time. 📈
@cissan_9984 任天堂の業績予想は保守的なのが伝統ですが、今回はさすがに驚いた人も多そうですね📈
@cissan_9984 Are you all still looking to buy after the earnings announcement? Or are you taking a wait-and-see approach? 🎮📊
@cissan_9984 皆さんは決算後も買い目線ですか?それとも様子見派ですか?🎮📊
@cissan_9984 Conservative predictions are kind of a Nintendo tradition, aren't they? 😊
@cissan_9984 保守的な予想は任天堂の伝統みたいなものですよね😊
@cissan_9984 It gives the impression of being a cautious earnings forecast, typical of Nintendo. I always find myself paying attention to it.
@cissan_9984 任天堂らしい慎重な業績予想という印象ですね。毎回注目してしまいます。
@cissan_9984 This kind of prediction method might also be part of a company's strategy.
@cissan_9984 こういう予想の出し方も企業の戦略の一つなのかもしれませんね
@cissan_9984 It seems like there are many investors who are hoping for an upward revision 📈
@cissan_9984 上方修正を期待してしまう投資家も多そうですね📈
@cissan_9984 Was there a surge in demand for the Switch before the price increase?
@cissan_9984 switch値上げ前に駆け込み需要があったとか?
@cissan_9984 That's so typically Japanese!
@cissan_9984 いかにも日本人!って感じ
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's EPS forecast is far too conservative. Foreign investors are expecting more, so this isn't very shareholder-friendly.
@cissan_9984 шиばらくNintendoのEPS予想は控えめすぎるよね。外人ももっと期待してるのに、これじゃ株主に優しくない。
Nintendo earning 127 yen in EPS in Q1 and keeping its full-year forecast unchanged at 268 yen is definitely too conservative. I understand the traditional "ultra-safe driving guidance," but at this pace, it will essentially be flat for the remaining nine months, so from a shareholder's perspective, it's natural to suspect, "Are they still hiding something?" Foreign investors tend to react more strongly to aggressive numbers, so I think the stock price would have reacted differently if they had hinted at a bold upward revision. But perhaps ending with an ultra-conservative stance and then making a series of big announcements later is part of Nintendo's aesthetic.
任天堂のQ1でEPS127円稼いで通期予想268円据え置きって、さすがに保守的すぎるよな。 伝統の「超安全運転ガイダンス」はわかるけど、このペースなら残り9ヶ月で実質ほぼ横ばい想定になるわけで、株主目線だと「まだ隠してる?」って疑いたくなるのも当然。 外人投資家は数字のアグレッシブさに反応しやすいから、ここは思い切って上方修正匂わせた方が株価の反応も違ったと思う。 でも結果的に超保守で終わらせて後でビート連発するのも任天堂流の美学なのかもしれない。
@cissan_9984 I don't want people who think a huge miss is better than a big miss to participate in investor relations.
@cissan_9984 下ブレよりどっぱずれのほうがマシっていう感性 の人にはIRに参加して欲しくないですよねぇ
@cissan_9984 I don't know anything about Nintendo, but one thing is for sure: I'm really hungry 😩😩
@cissan_9984 任天堂のことは何も知らないけど、一つだけ確かなのは、すごくお腹が空いているということ😩😩
@cissan_9984 No, I think it's worse to lower the stock price by saying that the market expectations were too high and then the company didn't meet them. That's how institutional investors operate, though.
@cissan_9984 いやそれより高めの市場予想で未達って言って株か下げる方がどうかと思う。 機関投資家のやり口ではあるが
@cissan_9984 Well, they're always incredibly conservative, and one-third of their Q1 non-operating income and below is foreign exchange gains. With the yen currently strong, Q2's non-operating income and below will be quite negative. But even then, being conservative, if you exclude foreign exchange gains, it'll probably be Q1 80, Q2 80-90, Q3 160-170, Q4 50-60, and a full-year EPS of around 400.
@cissan_9984 まあここはとんでもなくいつも保守的だし、Q1の営業外利益以下の1/3は為替差益。今円高だからQ2は営業外以下はけっこうマイナスになる。まあそれでも保守的で為替差益除いたらQ1 80, Q2 80-90, Q3 160-170, Q4 50-60,で通期 EPS400くらいかな。
It's certainly too conservative... Earning 127 yen in Q1 but only raising it to 268 yen for the full year is typical Nintendo style, haha. However, it seems that rising memory prices and the temporary tariff refunds are also having an impact, so I can understand why they're being cautious. But if they were a little more aggressive, it would be easier for foreign investors to buy in, and the stock price would likely rise even more... What a shame!
確かに保守的すぎますよね… Q1で127円も稼いでるのに通期268円は、さすが任天堂の伝統芸です笑 ただ、メモリ高騰とか一時的な関税還付の影響もあるみたいなので、慎重になるのもわかる気はします。 でも、もう少し強気に出してくれたら外国人投資家の買いが入りやすくなって、株価ももっと盛り上がりそうなのに…惜しい!
@cissan_9984 I don't want people who think a huge miss is better than a big drop to participate in investor relations...
@cissan_9984 下ブレよりどっぱずれのほうがマシっていう感性 の人にはIRに参加して欲しくないですよねぇ,,,,
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's predictions are so extremely conservative, it's really frustrating...
@cissan_9984 本当に任天堂さんは超保守的予想で困っちゃいます…
@cissan_9984 You were doing Texxer, right?
@cissan_9984 テクザー、やってたでしょ??
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's usual special move combination. Will it be too late once memory prices start to drop significantly? It will probably be too late.
@cissan_9984 任天堂いつもの、必殺 コンビネーション。 しっかりメモリ価格低下始めてからでは遅いですか。遅いですねきっと。
@cissan_9984 I wonder if the predictions for traditional arts are not meeting the shareholders' expectations.
@cissan_9984 伝統芸の予想って株主の期待を満たしていないのかな
@cissan_9984 Nintendo has always had a reputation for making conservative predictions.
@cissan_9984 任天堂は昔から保守的な予想を出すイメージがありますね。
@cissan_9984 Since it's only the first quarter results, I think they're probably keeping the full-year earnings forecast conservative and not changing it. The semiconductor bubble has burst and it looks like it's going to explode!!!
@cissan_9984 まだ第1四半期決算だから、通期業績予想は変更しない保守的な見積もりなのではないでしょうか。半導体バブルも弾けて大化けしそうですね!!!
@cissan_9984 Nintendo's EPS of 127 yen in the first three months is amazing, but their full-year forecast of 268 yen is far too conservative. Certainly, if you want to attract foreign investment, it's okay to make big claims. But shareholders would be more upset if the forecast is completely wrong than if it falls short, so it's a tricky situation.
@cissan_9984 任天堂3ヶ月でEPS127円は凄いのに通期268円予想は保守的すぎるね。確かに外資呼び込むなら大風呂敷もアリ。でも下振れより大外しは株主も困るから難しいところ。
@cissan_9984 Someone said this It's so typically Japanese!
@cissan_9984 誰かがこう言った いかにも日本人!って感じ
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