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xiaomusg
小牧 SG 🇸🇬
@xiaomusg

这些利好全是在大跌之后出来的,有没有觉得很巧? 三星说短缺到2028年,Deutsche Bank说供给缺口到2030年,美光45个分析师共识目标价$1507,SK海力士被UBS开了$204的Buy评级。 不是巧合,是剧本。 暴跌的时候你看到的新闻全是利空,"Burry做空了""SK海力士miss了""韩国爆仓了""美联储要加息了"。 这些消息被推特的算法放大了十倍,喂到你的时间线里,喂到你的恐惧里,喂到你按下卖出按钮的那根手指上。 你割肉了,筹码被接走了,然后利好就出来了。 三星的短缺预警是在暴跌之后发的,BS的买入评级是在暴跌之后给的,Deutsche Bank的供需模型是在暴跌之后发布的。 你觉得这些机构不知道这些数据吗?他们在暴跌之前就知道了,但他们不会在暴跌之前告诉你。 因为他们需要你的恐慌来提供流动性,他们需要你在$750割肉,他们才能在$750接货。 等到接够了,利好就释放了,推特上的叙事从"世纪大顶"瞬间变成"超级周期才刚开始",股价从$707反弹到$927,你看着反弹干瞪眼。 这不是阴谋论,是市场的基本运行逻辑,信息差不是差在"你知不知道",是差在"你什么时候知道"。 散户永远是最后知道的那一批,所以散户永远在最高点接收利好,在最低点接收利空。 你唯一的对策是,不看新闻,只看数据。三星的产能表不会因为推特情绪变化而变化,Deutsche Bank的供需缺口不会因为Burry发了一条推特就消失。 数据在暴跌之前是这样,暴跌之中是这样,暴跌之后还是这样。 变的只有你的情绪和推特的算法。

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17 replies collected of 34 X reports
下一个百倍币 @sonukum82060646 ·

@xiaomusg When prices fall, you only look at the negative news; when prices rise, you only look at the positive news.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 跌的时候只看利空、涨的时候只看利好

大皮皮酱 @RanjanK74602376 ·

@xiaomusg It was actually the right move for Burley to be short back then, I just don't know if he closed his position.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 伯里当时还空的时候还真对了,就是不知道平仓没有

web3梦想家 @Basantc02222290 ·

@xiaomusg said not to watch the news because it's too extreme.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 说不要看新闻太极端了

web3香蕉 @Sankhyanvijayg1 ·

@xiaomusg Bad news comes, so I sell at a loss; good news comes, so I buy back in. My principal is gone just like that 🤣

original · zh

@xiaomusg 利空出来割肉、利好出来追回去,本金就这样没了🤣

风口 @xyue13 ·

@xiaomusg No way, these positive factors have been there all along. You just couldn't believe it when the price dropped.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 也不是吧,这些利好一直在啊,跌的时候你不敢相信就是

liu @liu19681024 ·

@xiaomusg This kind of emotional, wild price swings is one of the characteristics of a market top. If it can't break through the previous high, it's a head and shoulders pattern, and a crash will follow. The S&P 500 hitting a new high is another matter. The situation with memory and semiconductors is harder to predict.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 这种情绪化的暴涨暴跌是顶部的特征之一,如果不能冲破前高,就是头肩顶,崩盘随后就到。标普创新高是另一回事。存储和半导体就难说了。

whatever @whateve159 ·

@xiaomusg The yen crisis is still ongoing, but the short sellers have recently lost momentum, so a short-term offensive might be a good option.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 日元危机还在,但是近期空头乏力了,短暂的进攻也许是不错的选择

谭甜🌸同城上门♥外围选妃 @NinaTituszkrd ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 🙌🦁 I'm not shady, just look!

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧🙌🦁我福不黑不信你看

幻珊🌸 @Margueriteheev ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 🧸🧩 I'm not shady, you'll see.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧🧸🧩 我福不黑不信你看

高莉🌸同城上门♥外围选妃 @MaryEdwardkput ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 😤😪 I'm not shameless, just look!

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧😤😪我福不黑不信你看

康兰🌸同城上门♥外围选妃 @MarianLucarzkx ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 🍌🤔 I'm not shameless, you'll see!

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧🍌🤔我福不黑不信你看

何芸🌸同城上门♥线下选妃 @PennyWalkew49s ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 🌨️🤣 I'm not shameless, you'll see.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧🌨️🤣我福不黑不信你看

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 🎨🎃 I'm not shameless, just look!

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧🎨🎃我福不黑不信你看

eddypri @eddypri4594 ·

@xiaomusg Generally, at the peak, there's a continuous stream of positive news, like Huang's endorsement, causing MRVL to rise by dozens of points. Then a sharp drop begins. After the continuous drop to the bottom, when most retail investors have sold off, the media starts to touting a further 90% drop. Then, the night session starts to push up futures, the next day opens high, there's no pullback, and it rises for several days in a row. It pushes you until you can't resist the urge to buy, and that's when the peak is reached.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 一般在最顶的时候,连续不断的利好,比如老黄站台,mrvl涨几十个点。然后开始暴跌。 等连续跌到底了散户割的差不多了,媒体开时鼓吹还要跌90% 然后夜盘开始拉期货,第二天高开,没有回撤,直接几天连续拉涨。拉到你心痒痒受不了开始买入,买入即高点。

eddypri @eddypri4594 ·

@xiaomusg Retail investors generally like to wait for a second pullback to confirm the trend. Institutional investors haven't played that game for a long time. Either the market falls steadily, and the more you buy, the more you get stopped out. Or the market rises steadily, and the more you short, the more you get stopped out. Institutional investors' AI data centers precisely target retail investors.

original · zh

@xiaomusg 散户一般喜欢等第二腿回撤确认。 机构早就不这么玩了。要么一路单边跌,你越抄越止损。 要么一路单边涨,你越空越止损。机构的ai机房,精准瞄准散户。

秦雪🌸同城上门♥线下选妃 @OdeletteMabt6o ·

@xiaomusg I bet nobody's more adventurous than me 💍😼 I'm so lucky, you won't believe me, just look!

original · zh

@xiaomusg 应该没人比我玩的开了吧💍😼我福不黑不信你看