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十老板

@zemummy1

先试着写一段简单的交易。在ETH大幅拉升的时候，比如图1这段ETH5月1号到5月10号，从2900拉升到4100。但比特币纹丝不动，大家都在期待着BTC在蓄力补涨的时候，就要小心了。还有几个因素，比特币已经从4月14号CB上市的64000高点回落过一波，后续的反弹乏力，资金更多的切换到ETH上，当时还有动物园们，疯狂起飞，全魔乱舞阶段。这时候是BTC的最佳开空时机。也和前几天我在66000平掉BTC的多单是一个道理，市场上ETH强于BTC的时候，是个危险信号。再说回平仓时机，当时我是在4万开的对冲，没想到当天就出现了5.19时刻，又暴跌了30%，又在35500-3W2陆续加了多单，当比特币OK季度价格跌到28800的时候，爆仓价已经掉到了25000。事后看不是很危险，但对于刚经历过3，12不久的人们，都明白一个道理，多小的概率都会出现。当时的保证金相当于我所有资金的90%,如果爆了，不堪设想，想着再跌一点，要赶紧止损一些，幸好很快就回升到32000+，我又陆逊加了一些多单，当天的收益很爆炸，但后来也吸取了这次教训，在极端行情下，只开一点点杠杆。

1:27 PM · Aug 4, 2026 · 5K Views

4 Reposts 1 Quotes 41 Likes 14 Bookmarks

4 replies collected of 11 X reports

一

一米 @Crypto_yimi · Aug 4

@zemummy1 “When ETH outperforms BTC in the market, it’s a danger signal” Boss, can I interpret this as follows: If the ETH/BTC exchange rate rises, and ETH rises more relative to BTC, then it’s healthy; however, if it’s due to BTC falling while ETH shows relative resilience, then this resilience is quite dangerous and not suitable for going long.

original · zh

@zemummy1 “市场上ETH强于BTC的时候，是个危险信号” 十老板我可不可以这样理解： ETH/BTC 汇率上涨，如果是 BTC 上涨、 ETH 相对 BTC 涨得更多，那就是健康的；如果是 BTC 下跌而 ETH 表现得相对抗跌所致，那这种抗跌的表现是相当危险的，不适合做多

1 1

0x小马王 @maaa_keee · Aug 4

@zemummy1 I'd love to read more of the ten bosses' post-mortem analyses.

original · zh

@zemummy1 十老板多写一些复盘爱看

竹

竹子（88+顶级博主VIP策略聚合群） @Sakshi67406374 · Aug 4

@zemummy1 It looks terrifying and makes me sweat profusely~

original · zh

@zemummy1 看着都心惊肉跳，汗流浃背~

雯

雯儿体验全球节点 @a_priscil · Aug 4

@zemummy1 "The signal of ETH being strong and BTC being weak shared by Boss Shi is quite useful. This kind of divergence is indeed prone to occur when market funds rotate, especially during the takeoff phase of altcoins and altcoins, when BTC is easily neglected. You withstood the volatility with high leverage and were even able to add to your position at the end, showing that your mindset and risk control were both excellent. Do you still use the strength of ETH/BTC to determine when to short?"

original · zh

@zemummy1 「十老板分享的这个ETH强、BTC弱的信号挺实用。市场资金轮动时确实容易出现这种分化，尤其是山寨和动物园起飞阶段，BTC容易被冷落。你当时高杠杆扛住波动最后还能加仓，心态和风控都到位。现在还会继续用ETH/BTC强弱来判断开空时机吗？」

1 replies whose parent comment X withheld

一

一米 @Crypto_yimi · Aug 4

@zemummy1 Got it 🫡🫡 ETH This reputation is really something else hahaha

original · zh

@zemummy1 明白了🫡🫡 ETH 这个风评确实搞哈哈哈

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