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DL0868
牧羊🐂🀄️
@DL0868

SpaceX 明天凌晨 4:30 公布上市后的首份季度财报。 8月6日,第一波解禁也来了。 市场讨论的数据是:约 9.1 亿股,价值超 1,000 亿美元。 这几天的 $SPCX ,可以说是上市后的第一次压力测试。 空头逻辑: -解禁规模太大,早期股东和员工有套现需求; -估值也不便宜,Starlink、AI 算力、太空数据中心这些--故事已经提前定价了一部分; -再加上 Starship、卫星、AI 数据中心都要烧钱,市场会盯着增长能不能覆盖投入。 多头逻辑: -Starlink 是现金流核心,不是纯 PPT; -SpaceX 的发射业务几乎没有同级别对手; -AI / 太空算力还没完全被市场定价; -空头又很拥挤。 据 S3 Partners 数据,$SPCX 空头一度达到 2.19 亿股,占流通盘约 34%,名义价值约 246 亿美元。 所以这次关键的三件事: 1)Starlink 增长和利润率 2)AI / 算力有没有真实订单 3)解禁后市场能不能接住卖压 我个人是多头,我决定用仓位来感受市场的波动! 我觉得: SpaceX 这种资产,短期肯定会被财报、解禁、空头来回折腾。 但把时间拉长,它仍然是商业航天最核心的一张牌。 如果财报够硬,解禁卖压没想象中大,高空头反而可能变成燃料。 这个位置,我我觉得性价比可以,值得下注!已BUY,等福报!! #SpaceX #ELONMUSK

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@Gfilche I think so

· 803 Views

1 Quotes 26 Likes
replies reposts likes
24 replies collected

@DL0868 I'm 170cm tall and got on the bus.

original · zh

@DL0868 我170上车了

ApeCaptain @xuwenjie1988 · 11K

@DL0868 Okay, I bought at the bottom.

original · zh

@DL0868 好的抄底了

web3小玉Bluebird🕊️ @web3xiaoyu56 · 20K

@DL0868 Your analysis is very comprehensive. The bearish logic is indeed worth being wary of, but the cash flow advantage in the bullish logic is also crucial.

original · zh

@DL0868 你的分析很全面,空头逻辑确实值得警惕,但多头逻辑中的现金流优势也很关键

赏金猎人 | 斩鉤 @ZhanG_MemeCoin · 11K

@DL0868 When will it reach a new high?

original · zh

@DL0868 啥时候能新高啊

币圈狗爸🔶OP_CAT @CryptoGouba ·

@DL0868 We still need to wait for the numbers to speak for themselves. Manage your position size carefully; don't go all in.

original · zh

@DL0868 还是要等数字说话。仓位控制好,别all in

0xskybb🔶OP_CAT @Oxskybb ·

@DL0868 reports that if Starlink's profit margins and AI guidance don't falter, the short squeeze might be more intense than expected.

original · zh

@DL0868 报如果Starlink利润率和对AI指引不爆雷,挤空的力度可能会比想象中大

- 大洋 |买美股上币安 @AnchorNode · 10K

@DL0868 Hahahaha, can you handle this?

original · zh

@DL0868 哈哈哈哈哈,能不能顶得住

1
西西 @xixibtc123 · 53K

@DL0868 Hurry up and let it rise! I've already bought in halfway up the mountain!

original · zh

@DL0868 快点涨起来吧 抄到半山腰了

1
王峰Anc🔶OP_CAT @wangfenganc · 23K

@DL0868 Yes, if the financial report is strong enough, the selling pressure after the lock-up period expires may not be as great as expected, and the high short positions may actually become fuel.

original · zh

@DL0868 是的,如果财报够硬,解禁卖压没想象中大,高空头反而可能变成燃料。

1
E先生 @Exianshengde · 21K

@DL0868 I'm so ripped off

original · zh

@DL0868 亏麻了

陶朱 @A_taozhu · 19K

@DL0868 Let's set a new record! Ahhh!

original · zh

@DL0868 再创新高吧,啊啊

莓莓 @Meimeibtcc · 14K

@DL0868 It's time to buy the dip.

original · zh

@DL0868 准备可以抄底了

Crypto.七月 @Gays175448 · 11K

@DL0868 Don't worry too much about short-term fluctuations. Financial reports and fundamentals are the key. Just hold your positions and wait for the right opportunity.

original · zh

@DL0868 短期波动不用太担心,财报和基本面才是关键,持仓等风来就好。

皮卡丘 @aicheed2014 · 10K

@DL0868 Foresight is key; position sizing speaks volumes.

original · zh

@DL0868 有远见,仓位说明一切

幻想|Gate美股0费率 @315728dzp · 20K

@DL0868 SpaceX has solid fundamentals and can withstand short-term volatility.

original · ja

@DL0868 SpaceX基本面扎实短期波动能扛住

Ox糖豆 @Tabgdoueth · 16K

@DL0868 This location is indeed very cost-effective.

original · zh

@DL0868 这个位置性价比确实很不错

@DL0868 By now, the bubble surrounding the giant rocket should have mostly burst, right?

original · zh

@DL0868 等到现在,大火箭的泡沫应该挤得差不多了吧

@DL0868 The financial report and positions are all there. Consider short-term fluctuations as tuition fees. In the long run, SpaceX is still the strongest card.

original · zh

@DL0868 财报和仓位都摆在这,短期波动就当交学费,长期看SpaceX还是最硬的那张牌。

忧伤の蛙🐸 | 买美股上币安 @Exobtc11 · 29K

@DL0868 This position is indeed quite good; it feels like the price has fallen quite a bit.

original · zh

@DL0868 这个位置确实挺好的,感觉跌的差不多了

Lubov @Lubovyyds · 10K

@DL0868 It finally went up! 😄

original · zh

@DL0868 终于上涨了😄

等待被割的老韭菜 @pjjin574832 · 20K

@DL0868 I think it's time to start dollar-cost averaging.

original · zh

@DL0868 感觉可以定投了

观潮局长 @TideWatcherHQ ·

@DL0868 It's worth betting on; patiently wait for good fortune.

original · zh

@DL0868 值得下注,耐心等福报

libapi @libapi_ · 29K

@DL0868 It's about to take off.

original · zh

@DL0868 要起飞了

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Leo|Crypto Alpha @0xLeoAlpha ·

@DL0868 The real selling pressure after the ban was lifted is the true stress test of this event.

original · zh

@DL0868 解禁后的真实抛压才是这次压力测试