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u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 12 hours ago Discussion

What Stocks Would You Like Me to Analyze?

For the past two years, I've researched companies the old-fashioned way, mostly with pen and paper. During that time, I've developed my own company screening process focused on fundamentals, valuation, growth, and reward-to-risk ratios. Now I'm using AI to run companies through the screening process I've built, automating the data collection and calculations that I previously did manually. AI is speeding up my existing research process, not creating the investment strategy. What companies would you like me to analyze? Drop your tickers below. I'll pick a few and share my findings, including valuations, bull/bear scenarios, and reward-to-risk ratios.
33 comments held Reddit says 0 on reddit ↗
  1. u/BedroomNo6879 1 12 hours ago
    Soun
  2. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 12 hours ago
    SOUN | SoundHound AI - Current Price: $5.39 - Bull Target (12–18m): $10–$14 - Bear Target: $3–$4 - Upside: +86% to +160% - Downside: -26% to -44% - Reward-to-Risk: 3.3:1 - Success Probability: 45% - Expected ROI: +32% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.91% - Forward P/E: N/M - Debt-to-Equity: Near Zero - 1-Year Return: -68.95% - 5-Year Performance: Poor relative to S&P 500 - Risk: Very High - Conviction: 4/10 - Grade: C+ (Speculative) SoundHound provides conversational AI technology. Strong revenue growth, but persistent losses and deteriorating stock performance make it unattractive despite its speculative upside.
  3. u/AJ4Retros 1 12 hours ago
    HUT 
  4. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    HUT | Hut 8 Corp. - Current Price: $84.27 - Bull Target (12–18m): $140–$170 - Bear Target: $45–$60 - Upside: +66% to +102% - Downside: -29% to -47% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.2:1 - Success Probability: 55% - Expected ROI: +24% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.63% - Forward P/E: N/M - Debt-to-Equity: 4.37 - 1-Year Return: +93% - 5-Year Return: +62% - Risk: Very High - Conviction: 6/10 - Grade: B (Speculative) Hut 8 operates Bitcoin mining and AI data center infrastructure. Strong growth potential and positive long-term returns, but heavy debt, persistent losses, and recent price weakness limit my conviction.
  5. u/AnonymousFirm 1 11 hours ago
    How is upside, downside, risk to reward, success calculated? What does success even mean here? Has this been back tested? What does grade mean? Without significant context behind the calculations, this is not useful for others to use for investing purposes.
  6. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    Fair questions. The bull/bear targets come from fundamentals, valuation, growth, historical performance and risk. Those targets drive the upside, downside and reward-to-risk calculations, while success probability and grade reflect my screening criteria. After each company goes through my filter, I manually verify the numbers and review the charts myself. It’s a screening tool, not a prediction machine.
  7. u/AnonymousFirm 1 11 hours ago
    Okay, thank you for the clarifications. Appreciate it!
  8. u/Delicious-Ad-3975 1 12 hours ago
    PSTG
  9. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    PSTG | Everpure (formerly Pure Storage) - Current Price: $154.49 - Bull Target (12–18m): $200–$240 - Bear Target: $105–$120 - Upside: +29% to +55% - Downside: -22% to -32% - Reward-to-Risk: 1.6:1 - Success Probability: 60% - Expected ROI: +15% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.55% - Forward P/E: Elevated - Debt-to-Equity: 0.15 - 1-Year Return: +65.6% - 5-Year Return: +460% - Risk: High - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Everpure provides enterprise data storage and AI infrastructure solutions. Strong profitability, growth, and long-term performance, but elevated valuation and limited reward-to-risk prevent an A-grade.
  10. u/Xerxkses 1 11 hours ago
    Fervo
  11. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    FRVO | Fervo Energy - Current Price: $13.75 - Bull Target (12–18m): $25–$35 - Bear Target: $7–$10 - Upside: +82% to +155% - Downside: -27% to -49% - Reward-to-Risk: 3.1:1 - Success Probability: 35% - Expected ROI: +15% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.39% - Forward P/E: N/M - Profitability: Unprofitable 🔴 - Free Cash Flow: Negative 🔴 - Price Trend: Water slide 🔴 - Since IPO: Deeply negative 🔴 - Risk: Extreme - Conviction: 3/10 - Grade: D+ (Highly Speculative) Fervo develops geothermal energy infrastructure. Strong potential, but persistent losses, heavy cash burn, and a collapsing stock price make it far too speculative for me.
  12. u/Economy_Phone6730 1 11 hours ago
    WDC
  13. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    WDC | Western Digital - Current Price: $397.28 - Bull Target (12–18m): $700–$900 - Bear Target: $200–$300 - Upside: +76% to +127% - Downside: -24% to -50% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.7:1 - Success Probability: 65% - Expected ROI: +51% - Return per 1% Downside: 1.38% - Forward P/E: 19.61 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.13 - 1-Year Return: +244% - 5-Year Return: +607% - Recent Trend: Weakening 🟡 - Profitability: Profitable 🟢 - Risk: High - Conviction: 8/10 - Grade: A- Western Digital manufactures hard drives and data storage solutions. Strong AI demand, profitability, and long-term returns support my bullish outlook, although recent volatility warrants caution.
  14. u/ibangedthetwocoreys 1 11 hours ago
    Uber
  15. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    UBER | Uber Technologies - Current Price: $71.51 - Bull Target (12–18m): $110–$130 - Bear Target: $50–$60 - Upside: +54% to +82% - Downside: -16% to -30% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.9:1 - Success Probability: 65% - Expected ROI: +35% - Return per 1% Downside: 1.52% - Forward P/E: 15.92 - Debt-to-Equity: Not verified - 1-Year Return: -25.5% 🔴 - 5-Year Return: +49.7% 🟢 - Profitability: Profitable 🟢 - Price Trend: Weakening 🔴 - Risk: Moderate-High - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Uber operates global ride-sharing, delivery, and freight platforms. Strong cash flow and profitability support my outlook, but the declining one-year chart limits my grade.
  16. u/mattatattat45 1 11 hours ago
    What’s your age and experience?
  17. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    Early forties. 4000+ followers. Mostly posted on another app for the past 3 years
  18. u/tbhmoreadvanced 1 11 hours ago
    Listing followers when asked for experience That tells me all I need to know lmao
  19. u/ILikeCorgiButt 1 11 hours ago
    Everybody and their grandma is building these tools nowadays.
  20. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    Everybody and their grandma has AI. The tool isn’t the edge. Knowing what to ask it to do is.
  21. u/AnonymousFirm 1 11 hours ago
    Yup. Any AI agent can do this with a template prompt. My favorite application of AI is research
  22. u/onlyonequickquestion 1 11 hours ago
    Xndu
  23. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    XNDU | Xanadu Quantum Technologies - Current Price: $3.90 - Bull Target (12–18m): $8–$12 - Bear Target: $1.50–$2.50 - Upside: +105% to +208% - Downside: -36% to -62% - Reward-to-Risk: 3.2:1 - Success Probability: 30% - Expected ROI: +11% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.23% - Forward P/E: N/M - Debt-to-Equity: 0.19 - Profitability: Unprofitable 🔴 - Free Cash Flow: Negative 🔴 - 1-Year Trend: Water slide 🔴 - 5-Year Return: N/A (recent listing) - Recent Drawdown: Over 90% from peak 🔴 - Risk: Extreme - Conviction: 2/10 - Grade: D (Highly Speculative) Xanadu develops photonic quantum computers and software. Promising technology, but massive losses, limited revenue, and collapsing share prices make it far too speculative for my strategy.
  24. u/onlyonequickquestion 1 11 hours ago
    Thanks!
  25. u/amornoir 1 11 hours ago
    ONDS
  26. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    ONDS | Ondas Inc. - Current Price: $6.73 - Bull Target (12–18m): $25–$40 - Bear Target: $4–$6 - Upside: +271% to +494% - Downside: -11% to -41% - Reward-to-Risk: 13.1:1 - Success Probability: 50% - Expected ROI: +173% - Return per 1% Downside: 6.7% - Forward P/E: N/M - Debt-to-Equity: 0.03 - 1-Year Return: +35.8% 🟢 - 5-Year Return: +32% 🟡 - Profitability: Operating losses 🔴 - Price Trend: Significant recent correction 🔴 - Risk: Very High - Conviction: 6/10 - Grade: B+ (Speculative) Ondas develops autonomous drones, defense systems, and wireless technology. Explosive revenue growth and exceptional potential upside are attractive, but operating losses and volatility keep it speculative.
  27. u/ronnieroberto 1 11 hours ago
    Reddit!
  28. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    RDDT | Reddit Inc. - Current Price: $159.91 - Bull Target (12–18m): $240–$300 - Bear Target: $110–$130 - Upside: +50% to +88% - Downside: -19% to -31% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.8:1 - Success Probability: 65% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +36% - Return per 1% Downside: 1.45% - Forward P/E: 26.49 - Debt-to-Equity: Not verified - 1-Year Return: -19.5% 🔴 - 5-Year Return: N/A (2024 IPO) - Profitability: Profitable 🟢 - Revenue Growth: +61% YoY 🟢 - Price Trend: Weakening 🟡 - Risk: High - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Reddit operates a social media platform monetized through advertising and data licensing. Explosive growth and improving profitability are attractive, but recent share-price weakness and valuation limit my grade.
  29. u/AlecSB77 1 11 hours ago
    SOFI
  30. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    SOFI | SoFi Technologies - Current Price: $15.80 - Bull Target (12–18m): $25–$32 - Bear Target: $10–$12 - Upside: +58% to +103% - Downside: -24% to -37% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.6:1 - Success Probability: 55% - Expected ROI: +31% - Return per 1% Downside: 1.02% - Forward P/E: 21.71 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.31 - 1-Year Return: -39.7% 🔴 - 5-Year Return: -14.1% 🔴 - Profitability: Profitable 🟢 - Revenue Growth: +40.9% 🟢 - Price Trend: Water slide 🔴 - Risk: High - Conviction: 5/10 - Grade: B- (Speculative) SoFi provides digital banking, lending, and investment services. Strong growth and improving profitability are attractive, but poor shareholder returns and a declining chart limit my conviction.
  31. u/BurnBabyBurrrn 1 11 hours ago
    SNDK and NBIS
  32. u/Legitimate_Risk_1079 OP 1 11 hours ago
    SNDK | Sandisk Corporation - Current Price: $1,581.82 - Bull Target (12–18m): $2,200–$2,600 - Bear Target: $1,000–$1,200 - Upside: +39% to +64% - Downside: -24% to -37% - Reward-to-Risk: 1.7:1 - Success Probability: 60% - Expected ROI: +18% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.59% - Forward P/E: 7.36 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.01 - 1-Year Return: +1,253% 🟢 - 5-Year Return: N/A (2025 spinoff) - Profitability: Profitable 🟢 - Price Trend: Recent correction 🟡 - Risk: High - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Sandisk manufactures flash memory and data storage solutions. Explosive growth and profitability are attractive, but limited reward-to-risk and recent weakness prevent an A-grade. --- NBIS | Nebius Group - Current Price: $221.07 - Bull Target (12–18m): $350–$450 - Bear Target: $130–$160 - Upside: +58% to +104% - Downside: -28% to -41% - Reward-to-Risk: 2.3:1 - Success Probability: 55% - Expected ROI: +28% - Return per 1% Downside: 0.81% - Forward P/E: N/M - Debt-to-Equity: 0.99 - 1-Year Return: +67% 🟢 - 5-Year Return: Not directly comparable - Profitability: Operating losses 🔴 - Free Cash Flow: -$5.88B 🔴 - Price Trend: Recent correction 🟡 - Risk: Very High - Conviction: 6/10 - Grade: B (Speculative) Nebius develops AI cloud infrastructure and GPU data centers. Exceptional revenue growth offers significant upside, but operating losses, heavy spending, and debt limit my conviction.
  33. u/ValueInvestor08 1 11 hours ago
    Can you do NKE KO and HSY?