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u/Helpful-Staff9562 1 day ago

Feel free to roast my investment portfolio. What would you change?

I'm 36, from europe based in Europe, and currently have around $2.4M invested. I live in a country with no capital gains tax (but high div taxes), and my goal is to become financially independent within the next 4–6 years, while I'm still young enough to enjoy it (life is short)! I don't want to spend my best years accumulating money just to start enjoying life at 65. Life is unpredictable, and I'd rather have the freedom to live on my own terms sooner. My current portfolio: \- 88% VT (total world stock market) \- 12% Bitcoin \- Around 3% cash in my local currency, which I'm gradually deploying into my existing holdings. This used to be around 6%, but I'm putting more of it to work. \- can currently save and invest about 4k monthly Bitcoin has been part of my portfolio for a long time, and its recent run has pushed its allocation higher. I'm comfortable holding it, and it has worked well for me so far. However, I'm starting to question whether the risk/reward proposition still makes sense compared with a concentrated technology ETF which have delivered eay higher returns in the last years and it def is less risk. If I'm looking for an asymmetric, high-risk, high-reward bet to accelerate my path to financial independence, are there better alternatives? Would you: 1. Keep Bitcoin at around 10–12%? 2. Reduce or eliminate Bitcoin and allocate that portion to something like a semiconductor or technology ETF? 3. Use a different high-conviction satellite investment alongside VT? 4. Keep things simple and stick with VT and Bitcoin? I'm not looking to gamble my way to retirement or abandon diversification. I want to understand whether my current satellite position offers the best potential upside relative to its risks, especially given that I want to stop working while I'm still relatively young. Feel free to criticize the portfolio, challenge my assumptions, or suggest alternatives. I'd particularly appreciate arguments backed by historical data, valuations, and risk-adjusted returns rather than simply picking whatever performed best recently.
12 comments held Reddit says 9 on reddit ↗
  1. u/Pleasant_Proof10931 5 1 day ago
    I won't touch crypto but if you're comfortable holding it, then that allocation seems fine to me. If a friend of mine had this portfolio I wouldn't be concerned at all. Edit: I would caution you at looking at the tech returns in the last years. Past performance and all. My main question is, if your goal is financial independence in the next few years, what do you do if there's a market crash? Lets say 50%. I'm currently managing a family member's retirement fund and I have 5-6 years of expenses sitting in medium term government bond etfs. You'd be reducing your upside but also won't have to sell at a loss/lower amount if the market crashes a year into you ceasing work.
  2. u/Helpful-Staff9562 OP 1 1 day ago
    Yes makes sense tbough im not worried about a crash now or anything soon as i can just byy more of that happems + if i loose my job for ehatever reaosn where i leave i jave 2 years paid unemployment at 70% my income so i have an extra 2 year buffer on top hence why im taking more risks now. I also jave about 200k usd i vested in a lrivate pension plan very conservative and thats cant go negative due to the country law im in. Min 1.25% return even in years where stocl market is negavitve, average has been 4% thoguh
  3. u/openfetish41 1 1 day ago
    tech's recent run looks great until it doesn't, you'd basically be swapping one volatile bet for another but with less history to back it up the real issue is trying to retire in 4-6 years with basically zero buffer against a market crash, that 5-6 years of expenses in bonds suggestion is what actually needs attention here
  4. u/Immediate-Run-7085 2 1 day ago
    Nothing. Your portfolio is fine.
  5. u/Professional_Elk9605 1 1 day ago
    2.4M invested at 36 in Europe! Can I ask what you do?
  6. u/Helpful-Staff9562 OP 2 1 day ago
    Project management. Though i was lucky back in the past with my bitcoin bet so I got a good start financially
  7. u/keith1301 1 1 day ago
    12% more VT and it would be perfect.
  8. u/little-city 3 1 day ago
    Bro you’ve asked this question every week for the past 6 months, just stay consistent and stop doubting yourself
  9. u/Clubpenguin8888 1 1 day ago
    You’re fine since you’re young. I’m 45% QQQ 10% BTC and 45% VOO
  10. u/Public-Ad8953 1 1 day ago
    Do nothing. Keep your boring diversified portfolio, if you want to go faster, increase your income and contribute more. The moment you start chasing higher returns, you’ll start multiplying losses.
  11. u/Wizofsorts 1 1 day ago
    I'd cut Bitcoin to 10% but that's where I've always had a cap at. Other than that you're doing fine.
  12. u/[deleted] 1 1 day ago

    [removed] — already gone when the archive first saw it