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u/Helpful-Staff9562
1 day ago
Feel free to roast my investment portfolio. What would you change?
I'm 36, from europe based in Europe, and currently have around $2.4M invested. I live in a country with no capital gains tax (but high div taxes), and my goal is to become financially independent within the next 4–6 years, while I'm still young enough to enjoy it (life is short)!
I don't want to spend my best years accumulating money just to start enjoying life at 65. Life is unpredictable, and I'd rather have the freedom to live on my own terms sooner.
My current portfolio:
\- 88% VT (total world stock market)
\- 12% Bitcoin
\- Around 3% cash in my local currency, which I'm gradually deploying into my existing holdings. This used to be around 6%, but I'm putting more of it to work.
\- can currently save and invest about 4k monthly
Bitcoin has been part of my portfolio for a long time, and its recent run has pushed its allocation higher. I'm comfortable holding it, and it has worked well for me so far.
However, I'm starting to question whether the risk/reward proposition still makes sense compared with a concentrated technology ETF which have delivered eay higher returns in the last years and it def is less risk. If I'm looking for an asymmetric, high-risk, high-reward bet to accelerate my path to financial independence, are there better alternatives?
Would you:
1. Keep Bitcoin at around 10–12%?
2. Reduce or eliminate Bitcoin and allocate that portion to something like a semiconductor or technology ETF?
3. Use a different high-conviction satellite investment alongside VT?
4. Keep things simple and stick with VT and Bitcoin?
I'm not looking to gamble my way to retirement or abandon diversification. I want to understand whether my current satellite position offers the best potential upside relative to its risks, especially given that I want to stop working while I'm still relatively young.
Feel free to criticize the portfolio, challenge my assumptions, or suggest alternatives. I'd particularly appreciate arguments backed by historical data, valuations, and risk-adjusted returns rather than simply picking whatever performed best recently.