How Would Bitcoin React to a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan?

Yes.

Who cares

Me

It will be known in advance so a non event for Bitcoin.

This is what would happen.... Tick tock next block... 😎

The blocks must flow!

Bitcoin does not care.

It would dive, like all other risk-on investments.

Bitcoin is a piece of code, it doesn’t care what humans think or do.

\-5% for a week, then up again.

Then down 10% then down to zero

Nope. Why would BTC go out over freaking Taiwan? 😂

The bitcoin CEO has a cottage in Taiwan

Oh yes, I went there once. Wonderful tangerines.

One thing is for sure, the line would continue to move to the right.

A new block would be mined in about 10 minutes.

Dude wtf no leaking the black swan of the 2032 cycle

If their factories all get destroyed it’s not just going to be bitcoin taking a hit

waiting for you to do something and doing the opposite

Basically moon IMO. US would likely sanction Chinese companies in response to that kind of attack and this would wake a lot of people up to the fact that governments are imperfect and that even equities are highly susceptible to their government's mood... Apple, Meta, NVDIA... all of these could basically take 80% hits just because President Xi feels like taking over Taiwan...

It wouldnt even cause a chink,

probably dumps hard at first tbh, BTC still trades like a risk asset when stuff like this actually happens, not some magic safe haven after the initial panic it depends. If china capital starts trying to flee (sanctions/capital controls type stuff) you could see BTC catch a bid from that, kinda like what happened with russian money in 2022 also random but worth remembering, taiwan = TSMC = chips = mining hardware, so a real conflict there isn't great for miners either short term: bad. long term: depends how ugly it actually gets

😂😂😂😂

It will react by producing a new block every ten minutes

Either down or up for sure.

initial panic dump, then long term capital flight pumps it. Just keep your stack in self custody and use instant cross chain swaps without mandatory signups or KYC if CEXs start lock down.