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u/IshfaaqPeerally 1 day ago Stock Analysis

Root has $300 million of off-balance sheet assets on $800 million market cap

Root (ROOT) is an auto-insurance business with only 0.42% of market share in the US. Root is also one of the leaders in telematics technology and embedded insurance, both of which are growing faster than the industry average. Today, the technology has become so good, that Root is one of the most profitable auto-insurers with a loss ratio of around 65%. In other words, for every $100 of premium earned, roughly $65 goes toward insurance losses. These are very good numbers. But for the technology to get that good and for them to reach these numbers, they had to suffer much losses. It goes without saying that when you’re losing money, you cannot pay taxes. But now that Root is profitable, it should be paying taxes. But it isn’t. Because of the years of losses, it accumulated Net Operating Losses (NOLs) that can be used to offset future tax payments. For example, in 2025 Root reported $40.8 million of pre-tax income but only $0.5 million of income-tax expense (1.2%). More importantly, Root still had enormous accumulated tax losses available to offset taxable income in the future. But soon, Root might put it on the balance sheet, creating about $300 million of assets as Deferred tax assets (DTA). It is interesting to note a change on the 10-Q this quarter. For the first time ever management wrote the following: *given our anticipated future earnings, management believes that there is a reasonable possibility that in the foreseeable future, sufficient positive evidence may become available to reach a conclusion that all or a portion of the valuation allowance may no longer be needed. Release of the valuation allowance would result in recognition of certain deferred tax assets and a corresponding material income tax benefit for the period the release is recorded. The exact timing and amount of the valuation allowance release would depend on our financial performance, projected taxable income in the relevant jurisdictions, and ongoing evaluation of available positive and negative evidence.* The exact amount depends on several factors such as whether these NOL expire or not or at what rate they are taxed. For example, the $1.28 billion in Federal NOLs are taxed at 21%, giving us about $270 million in DTA. And we can estimate about $300 million in DTA if we add the local and state NOLs. The last reported amount was $339 million in December 2025 (technically as valuation allowance, it becomes DTA only once it is on the balance sheet). Now, you may be wondering, why does it matter whether it is on or off-balance sheet. This addition will be recorded as net income. In 2023, something similar happened to Airbnb and this boosted their profits to $4.43 billion in one quarter. Of course, is not a cash profit. It is just accounting. But at the same time, it helps that the company can go years without paying taxes. This cash can be returned to owners. $300 million that doesn’t go to the government but rather to owners is a lot for a $800 million company. It won’t happen over a single year. But it still matters. In the case of Root, it has another advantage. Root is an insurance business and the equity capitalization matters. Insurance is regulated by the states, and each state subsidiary will need its own capital requirement. I cannot tell you for sure how much of the DTA will help. But it will help.
12 comments held Reddit says 0 on reddit ↗
  1. u/mrmrmrj 1 1 day ago
    ROOT trades at 2.7x book value which is on the rich side for an insurance company, especially one that is not diversified (nothing wrong with auto but adds some risk). Adding the deferred tax asset to the balance sheet would boost book value, doubling it. That would drop the P/B to 1.35x which is where it should be trading. Looks to me like the market is pricing this pro forma for the DT asset already. I do not understand why the DT are not on the balance sheet, tbh. The company has had pre tax income since 2024.
  2. u/IshfaaqPeerally OP 1 1 day ago
    They need to expect to be profitable in the foreseeable future. Which I don’t think they were jn 2024. About the price to book. The growth potential is big. It will always have a premium.
  3. u/dabigchina 1 1 day ago
    haven't looked at their financials, but likely due to stock based comp windfall projections dragging down their projected pretax income +perm differences below 0.
  4. u/raytoei 1 1 day ago
    Dear OP, More words than data. What is the valuation like ? Come let me give you what I am seeing. All data from Morningstar | Metric | Value | | --- | --- | | Market Cap | $828M | | Revenue | $1.57B | | EPS (Diluted) | $3.34 | | EPS (Normalized) | $6.72 | | Dividend Yield (Forward) | 0.00% | | Dividend Yield (5Y Avg) | — | | Buyback Yield | — | | Buyback Yield (5Y Avg) | — | | Return on Assets (Normalized) | 7.11% | | Return on Equity (Normalized) | 40.56% | | Return on Invested Capital (Normalized) | 27.12% | | Price/Earnings | 15.10 | | Price/Earnings (Normalized) | 15.13 | | Price/Earnings (Forward) | 1.79 | | Price/Earnings (5Y Avg) | — | | Total Debt/Equity | 0.60 | | Total Debt | $197.80M | | Cash (Balance Sheet) | 509.60M | | EBITDA | $95.00M | | Shares Outstanding | 15.49M | | Sustainable Growth Rate | 21.76 | | Net Margin | 4.02% | | Net Margin (1Y Avg) | 3.62% | | Net Margin (3Y Avg) | −7.36% | | Net Margin (5Y Avg) | −51.67% | | Net Margin (10Y Avg) | −70.14% | | Revenue Growth (1Y) | 14.86% | | Revenue Growth (3Y) | 75.52% | | Revenue Growth (5Y) | 43.26% | | Net Income Growth (1Y) | −28.40% | | Net Income Growth (3Y) | — | | Net Income Growth (5Y) | — | | Net Income Growth (10Y) | — | | EPS Growth (TTM) | −29.48% | | EPS Growth (1Y) | 28.96% | | EPS Growth (3Y) | — | | EPS Growth (5Y) | — | | EPS Growth (10Y) | — | | Dividend per Share Growth (1Y) | — | | Dividend per Share Growth (3Y) | — | | Dividend per Share Growth (5Y) | — | | Dividend per Share Growth (10Y) | — | | Capital Expenditure/Sales | 0.01 | | Price/Earnings to Growth | 3.73 | | Price/Earnings to Growth (Normalized) | 21.80 | | Price/Earnings to Growth (Forward) | 0.06 | | Price/Sales | 0.58 | | Price/Sales (3Y Avg) | 0.81 | | Price/Sales (5Y Avg) | 0.59 | | Growth Grade | A |
  5. u/AptitudeSky 1 1 day ago
    How are they normalizing some of this data?
  6. u/raytoei 1 1 day ago
    Perhaps ignore the 6.72. I check various sources and the ttm eps is 3.47 to 3.53.
  7. u/librariancap 1 1 day ago
    Root is one of the most profitable auto-insurers with a loss ratio of around 65%
    This is not correct because you have ignored Expense Ratio. In 26Q2 Root has Net Loss/LAE Ratio of 66%, Net Expense Ratio of 26.1%, and Combined Ratio fo 92.1%. The 26Q1 figure are similar, at 62.2%, 29.2% and 91.4%. https://ir.joinroot.com/static-files/2b181f1d-a77a-4b12-b0d0-1f502333da5e The numbers for Allstate Auto are 65.8%, 21.8% and 87.6%. https://www.allstateinvestors.com/static-files/3829568a-6b46-432a-8c45-e2a0286dc02c The numbers for Progressive Vehicles (Direct) in H1 are 68.6%, 20.4% and 89.0%. (Agency numbers are \~5 ppt. better, with a Combined Ratio of 84.6%). https://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/80356bff-8751-4f27-b604-5c4f266c944e
  8. u/IshfaaqPeerally OP 1 1 day ago
    You're correct. The expense ratio is higher because of the rapid growth. I was focusing on the loss ratio.
  9. u/librariancap 1 1 day ago
    The expense ratio is high because they are subscale.
  10. u/oscarnyc 1 1 day ago
    I don't think 65% is particularly noteworthy. There was a big WSJ article a couple of days ago talking about how loss ratios have been declining across the board in the industry, and many are now better than 65%.
  11. u/IshfaaqPeerally OP 1 12 hours ago
    I'll read it. Thanks
  12. u/Heavy_Discussion3518 1 23 hours ago
    Damn, I don't have the slightest idea how to value insurance companies.