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u/pyrochi 3 days ago 𝑺𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌 𝑰𝒏𝒇𝒐 :stonk:

Netlist (NLST) - Samsung settlement (8/5/26) and what comes next

SAMSUNG: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/netlist-samsung-settle-patent-disputes-new-five-year-memory-deal-2026-08-05/ https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1282631/000110465926090641/tm2622153d1\_8k.htm 5-year Global settlement and license signed August 5th: \- Samsung pays **$239mil** upfront gross (before fees, after fees \~$200mil) \- Quarterly royalties of up to **$32.9mil** gross (after fees \~$27.5mil/qr) \- Netlist may purchase up to **$300mil/year** of DRAM and NAND products for five years \- **ITC cooperation** agreement, where Samsung was the major defendent, now they will be actively cooperating with Netlist per the deal. \- **Samsung acquires 10mil** shares of netlist for a nominal cost, 5year staged lock up Samsung lost $303mil and $118mil to Netlist in 2 separate cases and was heading into an ITC evidentiary trial where it faced exclusion orders that would cut them out of the US market. 20days after ITC instituted a second investigation, Samsung settled. This is the first Netlist agreement with a recurring royalty. That's huge. That's structural change. Netlist moves from a litigation story into a contracted, near 100% margin income. The next 2 catalysts we are waiting on is re-licensing with SK Hynix and a settlement with Micron. SK Hynix: SK Hynix's 2021 agreement with Netlist was $40mil upfront, and a $600mil supply agreement over 5 years (Apprx. $120mil/yr supply for netlist). That deal ended April 2026 and we are awaiting a pending renewal. Both parties have continued the commercial relationship while a renewal is negotiated. The Samsung deal now sets a public benchmark for terms, reasonable to expect upfront cash, quarterly royalties, and a renewed supply component. Micron: May 2024 jury verdict: **$445,000,000**, with **willful infringement** found on both the '912 and '417 patents, exposing Micron to enhanced damages up to $1,340,000,000. The district court denied Micron's post-trial motions in June 2025; the appeal is pending at the Federal Circuit (case 2025-1936). Micron is now the only one of the big three without a license, and Samsung, formerly its co-defendant, is contractually obligated to assist Netlist in future ITC proceedings. Combined: (speculation) We are looking at upwards of $300-$450mil in upfront payment in cash, $170-$250mil in annual royalties, $400-$550mil in supply agreement, and possibly more equity stakes from Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix. Netlist: Q2 2026 net income was $1,400,000 because IP legal fees hit $16,753,000, nearly double Q1's $8,974,000. With Samsung settled, that spend drops sharply. Royalty income is near 100% margin. The earnings picture changes fast.
9 comments held Reddit says 1 on reddit ↗
  1. u/PennyPumper moderator pinned 1 3 days ago
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  2. u/KrimaRaiden 1 3 days ago
    Pero ya subió
  3. u/pyrochi OP 1 3 days ago
    True, initial bounce from Samsung deal. We are only 3days into that deal closing. There’s still SK Hynix signing and micron signing that’s imminent. TBH $4 dollars is at the lower end of fair value, SS deal should produce \~$5-6
  4. u/MediumCommission3353 1 3 days ago
    I don’t know why people don’t talk more often about netlist and the power they have in terms of taking these large players to court
  5. u/Deep_Maintenance9436 1 3 days ago
    Finally more coverage, all of the channels have been suppressing netlist, I suspect all the short sellers are doing their best to suppress the stock price so that we can't list onto the nasdaq
  6. u/Deep_Maintenance9436 1 3 days ago
    This is first time I have seen you op, have you interacted in the netlist sub?
  7. u/pyrochi OP 1 3 days ago
    Since 2017, it’s been a long ride but the thesis is finally coming into fruition. The key to all this is the Royalty. The most stubborn bad actor Samsung has become the first to become ally and pay a royalty. Netlist is structurally changing. This is the ground floor.
  8. u/Deep_Maintenance9436 1 3 days ago
    Nice I assume your average is super low, nice to see more coverage
  9. u/killamasta 1 2 days ago
    The market really hasn’t priced in this deal and the upcoming SKHY renewal. Once it can stabilize $4 and it relists to NASDAQ, there’s gonna be massive FOMO considering their patents are used by all 3 major memory makers. This is rambus 2.0 but in a very tight and massively profitable memory market. I’m pretty sure it’ll eclipse rambus’ market cap easily once they get more licensees to sign